Living market coverage

Prediction-market movement explanations

The newest sourced PolySays updates about meaningful odds changes, possible catalysts, unresolved signals, and what to watch next.

  1. Unexplained MoveLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

    Game 2 Odd/Even total kills odds drop: 50% → 0.5%

    Odd moved lower from 50.0% to 0.5% (-49.5 points) between 2026-08-18T12:03:05.248Z and 2026-08-19T12:03:05.248Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  2. Unexplained MoveLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

    Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor in LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4: Yes odds 52% → 90%

    Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor moved higher from 52.0% to 90.0% (+38.0 points) between 2026-08-16T19:56:04.247Z and 2026-08-19T12:03:05.248Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  3. Unexplained MoveLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

    Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon in LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 market: Yes odds 44% → 90%

    Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon moved higher from 44.0% to 90.0% (+46.0 points) between 2026-08-16T19:56:04.247Z and 2026-08-19T12:03:05.248Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  4. Unexplained MoveLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

    Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors in LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4: Yes odds 51.5% → 10%

    Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors moved lower from 51.5% to 10.0% (-41.5 points) between 2026-08-18T12:00:15.000Z and 2026-08-19T12:03:05.248Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  5. Unexplained MoveAtlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca - First Team to Score

    Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca: Neither team to score first rises: Yes odds 17% → 26%

    Yes moved higher from 17.0% to 26.0% (+9.0 points) between 2026-08-18T11:56:04.195Z and 2026-08-19T11:56:04.195Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  6. Unexplained MoveArizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox - Player Props

    Ceddanne Rafaela home-run odds drop: 50% → 8.5%

    Over moved lower from 50.0% to 8.5% (-41.5 points) between 2026-08-19T10:48:02.674Z and 2026-08-19T11:03:03.675Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  7. Unexplained MoveArizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox - Player Props

    Corbin Carroll home-run odds jump: 50% → 92%

    Under moved higher from 50.0% to 92.0% (+42.0 points) between 2026-08-19T10:48:02.675Z and 2026-08-19T11:03:03.675Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  8. Unexplained MoveArizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox - Player Props

    Corbin Carroll home-run odds drop: 50% → 8%

    Over moved lower from 50.0% to 8.0% (-42.0 points) between 2026-08-19T10:48:02.675Z and 2026-08-19T11:03:03.675Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  9. Unexplained MoveArizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox - Player Props

    Gabriel Moreno home-run odds jump: 50% → 91.5%

    Under moved higher from 50.0% to 91.5% (+41.5 points) between 2026-08-19T10:48:02.676Z and 2026-08-19T11:03:03.675Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  10. Unexplained MoveArizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox - Player Props

    Gabriel Moreno home-run odds drop: 50% → 8.5%

    Over moved lower from 50.0% to 8.5% (-41.5 points) between 2026-08-19T10:48:02.676Z and 2026-08-19T11:03:03.675Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  11. Unexplained MoveArizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox - Player Props

    Ildemaro Vargas home-run odds drop: 50% → 8%

    Over moved lower from 50.0% to 8.0% (-42.0 points) between 2026-08-19T10:48:02.676Z and 2026-08-19T11:03:03.675Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  12. Unexplained MoveLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

    LoL Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group odds rise: 83.5% → 91.5%

    Gen.G moved higher from 83.5% to 91.5% (+8.0 points) between 2026-08-18T09:18:05.638Z and 2026-08-19T09:18:05.638Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  13. Unexplained MoveLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

    Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) rises: KT Rolster odds 23% → 29.5%

    KT Rolster moved higher from 23.0% to 29.5% (+6.5 points) between 2026-08-19T09:03:05.223Z and 2026-08-19T09:18:05.638Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  14. Unexplained MoveLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

    Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) slips: Gen.G odds 77% → 70.5%

    Gen.G moved lower from 77.0% to 70.5% (-6.5 points) between 2026-08-19T09:03:05.223Z and 2026-08-19T09:18:05.638Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  15. Unexplained MoveLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

    Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) jumps: Gen.G odds 57.5% → 70.5%

    Gen.G moved higher from 57.5% to 70.5% (+13.0 points) between 2026-08-18T09:18:05.638Z and 2026-08-19T09:18:05.638Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  16. Unexplained MoveLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

    Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon in LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4: Yes odds 64.5% → 50.5%

    Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon moved lower from 64.5% to 50.5% (-14.0 points) between 2026-08-18T10:03:05.441Z and 2026-08-19T10:03:05.441Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  17. Unexplained MoveLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

    Games Total: O/U 2.5 drops: Over odds 38.5% → 22.5%

    Over moved lower from 38.5% to 22.5% (-16.0 points) between 2026-08-16T19:56:04.246Z and 2026-08-19T09:03:05.223Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  18. Unexplained MoveLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

    Games Total: O/U 2.5 jumps: Under odds 61.5% → 77.5%

    Under moved higher from 61.5% to 77.5% (+16.0 points) between 2026-08-16T19:56:04.246Z and 2026-08-19T09:03:05.223Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  19. Unexplained MoveLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

    Games Total: O/U 2.5 drops: Over odds 35.5% → 22.5%

    Over moved lower from 35.5% to 22.5% (-13.0 points) between 2026-08-18T09:03:05.223Z and 2026-08-19T09:03:05.223Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  20. Unexplained MoveLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

    Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) jumps: Gen.G odds 57.5% → 77%

    Gen.G moved higher from 57.5% to 77.0% (+19.5 points) between 2026-08-18T09:03:05.223Z and 2026-08-19T09:03:05.223Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  21. Unexplained MoveLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

    Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor in LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4: Yes odds 27.5% → 50%

    Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor moved higher from 27.5% to 50.0% (+22.5 points) between 2026-08-18T09:03:05.223Z and 2026-08-19T09:03:05.223Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  22. Unexplained MoveEsports Awards: Esports Content Creator of the Year

    TacticalRab in Esports Awards: Esports Content Creator of the market rises: Yes odds 0.1% → 6.7%

    TacticalRab moved higher from 0.1% to 6.7% (+6.6 points) between 2026-08-18T08:56:05.479Z and 2026-08-19T08:56:05.479Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  23. Unexplained MoveAtlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins - Player Props

    Michael Harris II home-run odds jump: 0% → 90.5%

    Under moved higher from 0.0% to 90.5% (+90.5 points) between 2026-08-19T07:33:02.489Z and 2026-08-19T07:48:02.679Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  24. Unexplained MoveAtlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins - Player Props

    Michael Harris II home-run odds rise: 0% → 9.5%

    Over moved higher from 0.0% to 9.5% (+9.5 points) between 2026-08-19T07:33:02.489Z and 2026-08-19T07:48:02.679Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  25. Unexplained MoveAtlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins - Player Props

    Ronald Acuña Jr home-run odds jump: 0% → 88.5%

    Under moved higher from 0.0% to 88.5% (+88.5 points) between 2026-08-19T07:33:02.489Z and 2026-08-19T07:48:02.679Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  26. Unexplained MoveAtlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins - Player Props

    Ronald Acuña Jr home-run odds jump: 0% → 11.5%

    Over moved higher from 0.0% to 11.5% (+11.5 points) between 2026-08-19T07:33:02.489Z and 2026-08-19T07:48:02.679Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  27. News LinkedBitcoin above ___ on August 19?

    Bitcoin held above $64K as Polymarket odds jumped 14 points

    Bitcoin stayed above $64,000 in Aug. 18-19 crypto coverage, and the Polymarket-reported chance of finishing above that level rose from 62.5% to 76.5% over the same 24-hour window. The move appears consistent with firmer BTC price action, but no single confirmed catalyst is clear from the supplied sources.

  28. Unexplained MoveSlimbridge AFC vs. Milton Keynes Irish FC - Exact Score

    Exact Score: Slimbridge AFC 1 - 1 Milton Keynes Irish FC in Slimbridge AFC vs. Milton: Yes odds 38.5% → 47.5%

    Exact Score: Slimbridge AFC 1 - 1 Milton Keynes Irish FC moved higher from 38.5% to 47.5% (+9.0 points) between 2026-08-18T05:56:06.971Z and 2026-08-19T05:56:06.971Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  29. Unexplained MoveStotfold FC vs. Cockfosters FC - Exact Score

    Exact Score: Stotfold FC 1 - 1 Cockfosters FC in Stotfold FC vs. Cockfosters FC - Exact: Yes odds 38% → 47.5%

    Exact Score: Stotfold FC 1 - 1 Cockfosters FC moved higher from 38.0% to 47.5% (+9.5 points) between 2026-08-18T05:56:06.980Z and 2026-08-19T05:56:06.980Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  30. Unexplained MoveNorthwich Victoria FC vs. Bootle FC - Exact Score

    Exact Score: Northwich Victoria FC 1 - 1 Bootle FC in Northwich Victoria FC vs. Bootle: Yes odds 38% → 47.5%

    Exact Score: Northwich Victoria FC 1 - 1 Bootle FC moved higher from 38.0% to 47.5% (+9.5 points) between 2026-08-18T05:56:08.085Z and 2026-08-19T05:56:08.085Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  31. News LinkedBitcoin above ___ on August 19?

    Bitcoin held above $64,000 as market coverage turned more bullish

    Bitcoin’s odds of finishing above $64,000 on August 19 rose after coverage said BTC was holding or climbing above that level while broader crypto stayed firm. The move appears to have coincided with that price action rather than proving a single cause.

  32. Unexplained MoveAtalanta BC vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv - Exact Score

    Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 2 MH Hapoel Tel Aviv in Atalanta BC vs. MH Hapoel Tel: Yes odds 47.5% → 24.5%

    Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 2 MH Hapoel Tel Aviv moved lower from 47.5% to 24.5% (-23.0 points) between 2026-08-15T20:56:04.183Z and 2026-08-16T20:56:04.183Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  33. Unexplained MoveAtalanta BC vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv - Exact Score

    Exact Score: Atalanta BC 2 - 1 MH Hapoel Tel Aviv in Atalanta BC vs. MH Hapoel Tel: Yes odds 47.5% → 27.5%

    Exact Score: Atalanta BC 2 - 1 MH Hapoel Tel Aviv moved lower from 47.5% to 27.5% (-20.0 points) between 2026-08-15T20:56:04.183Z and 2026-08-16T20:56:04.183Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  34. Unexplained MoveAtalanta BC vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv - Exact Score

    Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 3 MH Hapoel Tel Aviv in Atalanta BC vs. MH Hapoel Tel: Yes odds 47.5% → 24.9%

    Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 3 MH Hapoel Tel Aviv moved lower from 47.5% to 24.9% (-22.6 points) between 2026-08-15T20:56:04.184Z and 2026-08-16T20:56:04.184Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  35. Unexplained MoveCincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

    Bejlek vs. Alexandrova: Match O/U 21.5 jumps: Over odds 51.5% → 89.5%

    Over moved higher from 51.5% to 89.5% (+38.0 points) between 2026-08-17T23:03:05.434Z and 2026-08-18T23:03:05.434Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  36. Unexplained MoveCincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

    Set Handicap: Alexandrova (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5) drops: Alexandrova odds 31.5% → 2.8%

    Alexandrova moved lower from 31.5% to 2.8% (-28.7 points) between 2026-08-17T23:03:05.434Z and 2026-08-18T23:03:05.434Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  37. Unexplained MoveCincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

    Bejlek vs. Alexandrova: Match O/U 22.5 jumps: Over odds 45.5% → 98.8%

    Over moved higher from 45.5% to 98.8% (+53.3 points) between 2026-08-17T23:03:05.434Z and 2026-08-18T23:03:05.434Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  38. Unexplained MoveCincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

    Bejlek vs. Alexandrova: Match O/U 23.5 jumps: Over odds 42% → 62.5%

    Over moved higher from 42.0% to 62.5% (+20.5 points) between 2026-08-17T23:00:16.000Z and 2026-08-18T23:03:05.435Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  39. Unexplained MoveElon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?

    Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026 in Elon Musk # tweets: Yes odds 14% → 1.1%

    Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026 moved lower from 14.0% to 1.1% (-12.8 points) between 2026-08-17T23:03:05.440Z and 2026-08-18T23:03:05.440Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  40. Unexplained MoveElon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?

    Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026 in Elon Musk # tweets: Yes odds 24.6% → 11.9%

    Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026 moved lower from 24.6% to 11.9% (-12.7 points) between 2026-08-17T23:03:05.440Z and 2026-08-18T23:03:05.440Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  41. Unexplained MoveElon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?

    Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026 in Elon Musk # tweets: Yes odds 24.5% → 41.5%

    Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026 moved higher from 24.5% to 41.5% (+17.0 points) between 2026-08-17T23:03:05.440Z and 2026-08-18T23:03:05.440Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  42. Unexplained MoveElon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?

    Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026 in Elon Musk # tweets: Yes odds 21.5% → 30.5%

    Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026 moved higher from 21.5% to 30.5% (+9.0 points) between 2026-08-17T23:03:05.440Z and 2026-08-18T23:03:05.440Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  43. Unexplained Move1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim - Exact Score

    Exact Score: 1. FC Köln 2 - 0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim in 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Yes odds 4% → 49.4%

    Exact Score: 1. FC Köln 2 - 0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim moved higher from 4.0% to 49.4% (+45.4 points) between 2026-08-17T21:56:08.052Z and 2026-08-18T21:56:08.052Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  44. Unexplained Move1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim - Exact Score

    Exact Score: 1. FC Köln 1 - 2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim in 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Yes odds 7.5% → 48%

    Exact Score: 1. FC Köln 1 - 2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim moved higher from 7.5% to 48.0% (+40.5 points) between 2026-08-17T21:56:08.053Z and 2026-08-18T21:56:08.053Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  45. Unexplained Move1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim - Exact Score

    Exact Score: 1. FC Köln 2 - 1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim in 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Yes odds 41.5% → 48%

    Exact Score: 1. FC Köln 2 - 1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim moved higher from 41.5% to 48.0% (+6.5 points) between 2026-08-17T21:56:08.053Z and 2026-08-18T21:56:08.053Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  46. Unexplained Move1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim - Exact Score

    Exact Score: 1. FC Köln 1 - 3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim in 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Yes odds 4.5% → 48.5%

    Exact Score: 1. FC Köln 1 - 3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim moved higher from 4.5% to 48.5% (+44.0 points) between 2026-08-17T21:56:08.053Z and 2026-08-18T21:56:08.053Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  47. Unexplained MoveWhat price will Bitcoin hit in August?

    Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August in What price will Bitcoin hit in August market: Yes odds 74.3% → 49.5%

    Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August moved lower from 74.3% to 49.5% (-24.9 points) between 2026-08-17T13:33:05.187Z and 2026-08-18T18:03:05.407Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  48. Unexplained MoveWhat price will Bitcoin hit in August?

    Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August in What price will Bitcoin hit in August market slips: Yes odds 58% → 49.5%

    Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August moved lower from 58.0% to 49.5% (-8.5 points) between 2026-08-17T18:00:19.000Z and 2026-08-18T18:03:05.407Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

  49. News LinkedWhat price will Bitcoin hit in August?

    Bitcoin holds above $65,000 as August $67,500 odds drift up

    Bitcoin’s August $67,500 market drifted higher from 24.5% to 38.5% between Aug. 17 and Aug. 18, while a contemporaneous headline said BTC had reclaimed $65,000. The supplied context does not confirm a single catalyst, so the move may reflect broader price strength and positioning.

  50. Unexplained MoveWhat price will Bitcoin hit in August?

    Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August in What price will Bitcoin hit in August market rises: Yes odds 32.5% → 38.5%

    Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August moved higher from 32.5% to 38.5% (+6.0 points) between 2026-08-17T17:03:05.420Z and 2026-08-18T17:03:05.420Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.