Finance markets, explained
Finance
Finance market movers, recent explanations, and context for earnings, listings, commodities, deal events, and macro-linked catalysts.
Moving now
Biggest recent shifts
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
(LOW) $70 by end of June 80%
Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?
(LOW) $60 by end of June 100%
What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
$3,800-$4,200 in June 79%
Silver (SI) above ___ end of June?
$60 on the final trading day of June 2026 40%
Why these markets move
Finance markets are most useful when linked to filings, earnings calendars, commodity data, macro releases, or official company statements. Weak sourcing should stay clearly labeled.
Signals to watch
- Earnings and SEC filing calendars
- Company and regulator statements
- Commodity and macro data releases
What changed recently
Recent market explanations
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Yes moved lower from 34.5% to 27.5% (-7.0 points) between 2026-06-29T19:00:05.335Z and 2026-06-30T19:00:05.335Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Yes moved higher from 28.5% to 34.5% (+6.0 points) between 2026-06-28T19:00:05.515Z and 2026-06-29T19:00:05.515Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $1B moved lower from 63.4% to 51.8% (-11.6 points) between 2026-06-23T00:00:04.000Z and 2026-06-24T18:45:51.570Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027 moved lower from 14.5% to 9.5% (-5.0 points) between 2026-06-23T19:22:18.266Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:18.266Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027 moved higher from 43.5% to 48.5% (+5.0 points) between 2026-06-23T19:22:18.267Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:18.267Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026 moved higher from 9.0% to 14.0% (+5.0 points) between 2026-06-23T18:45:44.930Z and 2026-06-24T18:45:44.930Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Finance
Latest news for active markets
Showing 49 of 49 matched markets.
Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Latest: The market repriced by -11.6 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
$1B
52%
$3B
51%
$2B
50%
Largest 24h move
$1B -8%
Volume
15
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Latest: The market repriced by -5.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027
49%
Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027
37%
Rivian announce bankruptcy before 2027
26%
Largest 24h move
Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027 +16%
Volume
1.8K
Will Phantom launch a token by ___?
Latest: The market repriced by +5.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
December 31, 2027
32%
December 31, 2026
14%
September 30, 2026
3%
Largest 24h move
December 31, 2026 +5%
Volume
998.4
What will Silver (SI) settle at in June?
Latest: The market repriced by +9.3 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
$60-$70 in June
47%
$50-$60 in June
41%
<$50 in June
11%
Largest 24h move
$60-$70 in June -13%
Volume
7.9K
Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?
Latest: The market repriced by +39.3 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
(LOW) $60 by end of June
100%
(LOW) $55 by end of June
45%
(LOW) $45 by end of June
7%
Largest 24h move
(LOW) $60 by end of June +48%
Volume
82.5K
Will Tread launch a token by ___?
Latest: The market repriced by +5.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
December 31, 2027
81%
December 31, 2026
60%
September 30, 2026
35%
Largest 24h move
December 31, 2026 +6%
Volume
1.9K
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?
Latest: The market repriced by -10.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
$7,100 (LOW) in June
14%
$7,700 (HIGH) in June
3%
$6,900 (LOW) in June
3%
Largest 24h move
$7,700 (HIGH) in June -4%
Volume
7.1K
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
Latest: The market repriced by -9.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
$7,800 (HIGH) in December
61%
$6,200 (LOW) in December
33%
$8,200 (HIGH) in December
25%
Largest 24h move
$7,800 (HIGH) in December -5%
Volume
4.1K
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
Latest: The market repriced by -23.1 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
$52 on the final trading day of June 2026
100%
$56 on the final trading day of June 2026
99%
$50 on the final trading day of June 2026
99%
Largest 24h move
$75 on the final trading day of June 2026 -21%
Volume
4.4K
Will Titan launch a token by ___?
Latest: The market repriced by -13.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
December 31, 2027
54%
December 31, 2026
21%
September 30, 2026
14%
Largest 24h move
September 30, 2026 -14%
Volume
669.8
IPOs before 2027?
Latest: The market repriced by +5.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
Anthropic IPO before 2027
74%
Discord IPO before 2027
62%
OpenAI IPO before 2027
52%
Largest 24h move
WHOOP IPO before 2027 +14%
Volume
14.5K
What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
Latest: The market repriced by +6.9 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
$3,800-$4,200 in June
79%
<$3,800 in June
9%
$4,200-$4,600 in June
9%
Largest 24h move
$4,200-$4,600 in June -32%
Volume
13.7K
Will Hylo launch a token by ___?
Latest: The market repriced by -17.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
December 31, 2027
54%
September 30, 2026
23%
December 31, 2026
18%
Largest 24h move
September 30, 2026 -17%
Volume
603.9
Silver (SI) above ___ end of June?
Latest: Yes odds for the $65 June 2026 silver settlement market increased from 0.195 to 0.240, a 0.045 move over the supplied 24-hour window.
$60 on the final trading day of June 2026
40%
$65 on the final trading day of June 2026
24%
$70 on the final trading day of June 2026
4%
Largest 24h move
$60 on the final trading day of June 2026 -32%
Volume
6.6K
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
Latest: The market repriced by -12.4 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
$63-$70 in June
37%
$70-$77 in June
32%
$77-$84 in June
14%
Largest 24h move
$63-$70 in June +18%
Volume
9.7K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Latest: Yes odds for the $70 low contract increased from 29.05% to 80.35%, a 51.3-point rise, over the supplied June 23 to June 24 window.
(LOW) $70 by end of June
80%
(HIGH) $80 by end of June
11%
(HIGH) $85 by end of June
3%
Largest 24h move
(LOW) $70 by end of June +49%
Volume
372.9K
Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Latest: The market repriced by -13.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
$400M one day after launch
53%
$200M one day after launch
53%
$600M one day after launch
43%
Largest 24h move
$1.5B one day after launch -14%
Volume
362.4
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June
14%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)
2%
Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June
1%
Largest 24h move
Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June +11%
Volume
98.4K
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?
No
68%
Yes
33%
Leader 24h
+4%
Volume
30.7K
Freddie Mac IPO Closing Market Cap
Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026
100%
Freddie Mac's market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day
0%
Freddie Mac's market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day
0%
Largest 24h move
Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026 +0%
Volume
19.4K
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
No
100%
Yes
0%
Leader 24h
+0%
Volume
5.6K
Will Opensea launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2026
38%
September 30, 2026
7%
June 30, 2026
0%
Largest 24h move
December 31, 2026 -1%
Volume
4.9K
OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31 2026
54%
September 30 2026
12%
August 31 2026
3%
Largest 24h move
September 30 2026 -2%
Volume
3.4K
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
No
93%
Yes
8%
Leader 24h
—
Volume
2.3K
Which banks will fail by June 30?
Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026
1%
Truist fail by June 30, 2026
1%
RBC fail by June 30, 2026
1%
Largest 24h move
Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026 +0%
Volume
1.7K
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
No
100%
Yes
0%
Leader 24h
+0%
Volume
1.7K
US recession by end of 2026?
No
89%
Yes
12%
Leader 24h
—
Volume
1.5K
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026
48%
OpenAI's market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day
14%
OpenAI's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day
10%
Largest 24h move
OpenAI's market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day -4%
Volume
1.4K
Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?
No
55%
Yes
46%
Leader 24h
-2%
Volume
1.3K
Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$1B one day after launch
7%
$100M one day after launch
5%
$500M one day after launch
4%
Largest 24h move
$1B one day after launch +4%
Volume
1.2K
Stripe IPO Closing Market Cap
Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026
100%
Stripe's market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day
0%
Stripe's market cap be between $120B and $140B at market close on IPO day
0%
Largest 24h move
Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026 +0%
Volume
1.2K
Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?
No
99%
Yes
1%
Leader 24h
+0%
Volume
1.2K
Gold (GC) above ___ end of June?
$4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026
1%
$5,600 on the final trading day of June 2026
1%
$6,200 on the final trading day of June 2026
1%
Largest 24h move
$4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026 -2%
Volume
966.9
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027
77%
Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027
37%
Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027
30%
Largest 24h move
MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027 +3%
Volume
652.7
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026
53%
Gold have the best performance in 2026
28%
Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026
16%
Largest 24h move
the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026 +4%
Volume
600.9
AI bubble burst in 2026?
No
81%
Yes
19%
Leader 24h
+1%
Volume
479.2
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon Musk be richest person on December 31
96%
Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31
1%
Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31
1%
Largest 24h move
Elon Musk be richest person on December 31 +1%
Volume
476.9
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027
13%
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027
9%
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027
9%
Largest 24h move
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027 -1%
Volume
467.7
Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M one day after launch
75%
$1B one day after launch
75%
$2B one day after launch
66%
Largest 24h move
$4B one day after launch -3%
Volume
447.6
Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap
Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026
100%
Fannie Mae's market cap be between $300B and $350B at market close on IPO day
0%
Fannie Mae's market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day
0%
Largest 24h move
Fannie Mae's market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day -0%
Volume
441.5
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026
100%
Discord's market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day
0%
Discord's market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day
0%
Largest 24h move
Discord's market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day -0%
Volume
407
Tabi FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$250M one day after launch
30%
$100M one day after launch
30%
$1B one day after launch
17%
Largest 24h move
$250M one day after launch +9%
Volume
362.6
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
No
76%
Yes
24%
Leader 24h
-1%
Volume
323.5
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
No
82%
Yes
19%
Leader 24h
—
Volume
198.9
Will Daylight launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
43%
December 31, 2026
27%
September 30, 2026
21%
Largest 24h move
December 31, 2026 +7%
Volume
136.4
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
1.1m barrels per day in 2026
96%
1.2m barrels per day in 2026
65%
1.3m barrels per day in 2026
47%
Largest 24h move
1.3m barrels per day in 2026 -4%
Volume
125.7
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
No
93%
Yes
7%
Leader 24h
-0%
Volume
58.4
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
>$8,000 in December
27%
$7,500-$8,000 in December
20%
$7,000-$7,500 in December
19%
Largest 24h move
>$8,000 in December -2%
Volume
15.3
Will Dreamcash launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2026
46%
September 30, 2026
35%
June 30, 2026
0%
Largest 24h move
September 30, 2026 +2%
Volume
2