Live intelligenceLive database

Prediction-market moves, explained as living timelines.

PolySays tracks public Polymarket markets, detects meaningful odds movement, and writes restrained timeline updates that connect prices to public context.

Lead market

National Bank Open: Arthur Fils vs Cameron Norrie

National Bank Open: Completed Match: Arthur Fils vs Cameron Norrie

100%

24h change

+50%

94776

active markets

200.3M

tracked volume

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Top markets

Latest movement explanations

Showing 24 of 60 matched markets.

activeSports

National Bank Open: Arthur Fils vs Cameron Norrie

Latest: Fils vs. Norrie betting interest shifted sharply against the Over after a same-day preview appeared, but no confirmed cause is provided in the source set.

National Bank Open: Completed Match: Arthur Fils vs Cameron Norrie

100%

Largest 24h move

National Bank Open: Completed Match: Arthur Fils vs Cameron Norrie +50%

Volume

780.8K

activeSports

Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Latest: The market repriced by -7.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw

42%

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

40%

Qingdao Xihaian FC

35%

Largest 24h move

Qingdao Xihaian FC -7%

Volume

0

activeGeopolitics

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

Latest: The market repriced by -29.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

December 31, 2026

91%

October 31, 2026

87%

September 30, 2026

78%

Largest 24h move

August 13, 2026 -34%

Volume

797.7K

activeSports

Académico de Viseu FC vs. CD Santa Clara - More Markets

Latest: The market repriced by -5.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

Académico de Viseu FC vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to Score

50%

Académico de Viseu FC vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

50%

Académico de Viseu FC vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to Score in First Half

49%

Largest 24h move

Volume

0

activeSports

National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek

Latest: The market repriced by +51.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

National Bank Open: Completed Match: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek

100%

Largest 24h move

National Bank Open: Completed Match: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek +50%

Volume

1.5M

activeSports

Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC - Second Half Result

Latest: Chicago Fire FC beat Club Necaxa in the Leagues Cup opener, and Necaxa’s second-half win market fell 7.0 points over the next 24 hours.

Club León FC to win the second half

49%

Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Second half draw

49%

Club Necaxa to win the second half

48%

Largest 24h move

Club Necaxa to win the second half -7%

Volume

0

activeEsports

Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Latest: The market repriced by +6.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

Leader

0%

Largest 24h move

Volume

6.1K

activeSports

Sporting FC vs. Escorpiones de Belén - More Markets

Latest: The market repriced by -7.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

Sporting FC vs. Escorpiones de Belén: Both Teams to Score

50%

Sporting FC vs. Escorpiones de Belén: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

50%

Sporting FC vs. Escorpiones de Belén: Both Teams to Score in First Half

49%

Largest 24h move

Volume

0

activeGeopolitics

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)

Latest: The market repriced by +9.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

August 31

94%

August 14

92%

Largest 24h move

August 31 +5%

Volume

134.1K

activeEsports

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs ENCE Prospects (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C

Latest: The market repriced by +9.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

Leader

0%

Largest 24h move

Volume

16.5

activeEconomy

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Latest: Reuters said the U.S. posted unexpected July job losses, and follow-up coverage from CNBC and Bloomberg said markets cut Fed hike expectations after the report.

Yes

55%

No

46%

Leader 24h

-8%

Volume

622.1K

activeSports

WNBA: 2026 Defensive Player of the Year

Latest: The market repriced by -8.7 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

Gabby Williams

63%

A'ja Wilson

28%

Alanna Smith

6%

Largest 24h move

Aliya Boston -9%

Volume

82.5

activeSports

Commanders vs. Ravens

Latest: Stefon Diggs coverage put Washington back in the spotlight, with reports framing his move as a return home and a boost to the Commanders' receiver room. During that same span, the market marked the Commanders down from 51.0% to 43.5%.

Ravens

56%

Commanders

44%

Leader 24h

Volume

n/a

activeSports

Pro Football: Rams vs. Seahawks Season Series Winner

Latest: The market repriced by +8.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

the Rams

42%

the Seahawks

40%

the season series between the Rams and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season

35%

Largest 24h move

the Seahawks -9%

Volume

0

activeSports

Randers FC vs. Lyngby BK - Total Corners

Latest: The market repriced by +8.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

Leader

0%

Largest 24h move

Volume

0

activeSports

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen

Latest: Daniel Merida Aguilar was the focus of fresh Friday National Bank Open preview coverage as the market repriced his outcome sharply higher, though the exact catalyst is not confirmed.

National Bank Open: Completed Match: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen

100%

Largest 24h move

National Bank Open: Completed Match: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen +50%

Volume

647.2K

activeSports

National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi

Latest: The market repriced by +7.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

National Bank Open: Completed Match: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi

100%

Largest 24h move

National Bank Open: Completed Match: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi +50%

Volume

955.2K

activeSports

National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneeva

Latest: The market repriced by -43.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

National Bank Open: Completed Match: Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneeva

100%

Largest 24h move

National Bank Open: Completed Match: Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneeva +50%

Volume

660.1K

activeFinance

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?

Latest: Polymarket’s WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August Yes price climbed 6.5 points in the 24 hours ending August 7, 2026. The supplied news flow centered on crude weakening below $80 and market attention on Iran-Oman talks, but no direct catalyst for the market move is confirmed.

(LOW) $75 in August

83%

(HIGH) $80 in August

72%

(LOW) $70 in August

54%

Largest 24h move

(HIGH) $80 in August +15%

Volume

631.1K

activeSports

FC Dinamo City vs. FK Auda - Exact Score

Latest: The market repriced by +9.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

FC Dinamo City 0 - 0 FK Auda

49%

FC Dinamo City 0 - 1 FK Auda

48%

FC Dinamo City 1 - 0 FK Auda

48%

Largest 24h move

FC Dinamo City 2 - 0 FK Auda +9%

Volume

0

activeSports

Coventry City vs. AS Monaco - Exact Score

Latest: The market repriced by +9.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

Coventry City 0 - 0 AS Monaco

50%

Coventry City 1 - 0 AS Monaco

48%

Coventry City 2 - 0 AS Monaco

48%

Largest 24h move

Coventry City 2 - 0 AS Monaco +10%

Volume

0

activeSports

CA Grau vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos - Exact Score

Latest: The market repriced by +7.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

Any Other Score

48%

CA Grau 0 - 0 CD Comerciantes Unidos

46%

CA Grau 0 - 2 CD Comerciantes Unidos

37%

Largest 24h move

CA Grau 2 - 3 CD Comerciantes Unidos -40%

Volume

0

activeSports

AA Ponte Preta vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe - Exact Score

Latest: The market repriced by +8.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

Any Other Score

50%

AA Ponte Preta 0 - 2 Clube Náutico Capibaribe

49%

AA Ponte Preta 1 - 2 Clube Náutico Capibaribe

49%

Largest 24h move

AA Ponte Preta 1 - 1 Clube Náutico Capibaribe +12%

Volume

0

activeSports

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti

Latest: ATP Tour reporting said Rafael Jodar beat Lorenzo Musetti in Montreal and advanced to round 4; over the same period, Jodar’s outcome price jumped from 0.575 to 0.9995 amid a liquidity spike.

National Bank Open: Completed Match: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti

100%

Largest 24h move

National Bank Open: Completed Match: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti +50%

Volume

615.8K