activeSportsAlexandra Eala -8% 24h

2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026.

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Current leader
Naomi Osaka 25%
Largest 24h move
Alexandra Eala -8%
24h volume
447.4K
Liquidity
1.7M

Top candidates

48 outcomes

Naomi Osaka

25%

0% 24h

Jessica Pegula

17%

0% 24h

Elena Rybakina

13%

0% 24h

Mirra Andreeva

12%

0% 24h

Madison Keys

11%

0% 24h

Show all outcomes

Karolína Muchová

11%

+3%

Coco Gauff

10%

0%

Iga Świątek

9%

0%

Marta Kostyuk

8%

0%

Linda Nosková

5%

-3%

Amanda Anisimova

5%

0%

Jasmine Paolini

3%

0%

Barbora Krejčíková

2%

0%

Emma Raducanu

2%

0%

Elina Svitolina

2%

0%

Aryna Sabalenka

2%

0%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

1%

0%

Emma Navarro

1%

0%

Marie Bouzková

1%

0%

Serena Williams

1%

0%

Anna Kalinskaya

1%

0%

Diana Shnaider

1%

0%

Donna Vekić

1%

0%

Liudmila Samsonova

1%

0%

Qinwen Zheng

1%

0%

Jelena Ostapenko

1%

0%

Clara Tauson

0%

0%

Elise Mertens

0%

0%

Paula Badosa

0%

0%

Xinyu Wang

0%

0%

Maya Joint

0%

0%

Tatjana Maria

0%

0%

Dayana Yastremska

0%

0%

Maja Chwalinska

0%

0%

Olga Danilović

0%

0%

Leylah Fernandez

0%

0%

Ons Jabeur

0%

0%

McCartney Kessler

0%

0%

Laura Siegemund

0%

0%

Ashlyn Krueger

0%

0%

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

0%

0%

Yulia Putintseva

0%

0%

Maria Sakkari

0%

0%

Solana Sierra

0%

0%

Beatriz Haddad Maia

0%

0%

Belinda Bencic

0%

0%

Iva Jovic

0%

-3%

Alexandra Eala

0%

-8%

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

Resolves No

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament. If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Living timeline · 21 significant updates

Gauff’s Wimbledon run lifts her winner odds after first quarterfinal breakthrough

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Odds chart showing latest Naomi Osaka probability of 22%.

Story so far

Needs a refresh

Women’s Wimbledon winner pricing has continued to reprice upward on reported match-progress coverage and related matchup news. The latest notable move is Coco Gauff, whose price surged from 3.9% to 9.8% over the last 24 hours after reported advancement to her first Wimbledon quarterfinal, with coverage also noting an all-USA quarterfinal against Jessica Pegula. Earlier moves around Jessica Pegula, Naomi Osaka, and Madison Keys still appear tied to reported quarterfinal or round-of-16 progress, plus some possible momentum.

No major update has changed the story in 9 days.

Latest update

Gauff’s Wimbledon run lifts her winner odds after first quarterfinal breakthrough

Coco Gauff’s Wimbledon title market jumped after she beat Belinda Bencic to reach her first Wimbledon quarterfinal, with additional coverage noting an all-USA quarterfinal against Jessica Pegula. The move coincided with a 24h price surge from 3.9% to 9.8%.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • Reported upset win over Aryna Sabalenka
  • Reported first Wimbledon quarterfinal berth
  • Sharp increase in trading volume
  • Reported win over Iva Jovic to reach the quarterfinals
  • Jessica Pegula’s reported quarterfinal run
  • Reported all-American matchup with Coco Gauff
  • Naomi Osaka upset over Aryna Sabalenka
  • Naomi Osaka first Wimbledon quarterfinal berth
  • Madison Keys’ reported order-of-play coverage
  • Madison Keys’ reported advance to the round of 16
  • Coco Gauff’s reported first Wimbledon quarterfinal berth
  • Reported all-USA quarterfinal matchup with Jessica Pegula

Unresolved questions

  • How much of the Pegula move is explained by reported quarterfinal news versus market momentum
  • Whether Osaka-related repricing and Pegula repricing are linked or separate
  • Whether the current Pegula level will hold after the spike
  • Whether later Wimbledon results will drive another reprice
  • How much of the Madison Keys move reflects match coverage versus broader market momentum
  • How much of the Gauff surge is news-driven versus continuation of the broader upward repricing

People and institutions to watch

Naomi OsakaAryna SabalenkaJessica PegulaCoco GauffMadison KeysWomen’s Wimbledon market

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. Coco Gauff’s 2026 Women’s Wimbledon winner price moved sharply higher over the last 24 hours, rising from 3.9% to 9.8% (+5.9 points). The confirmed on-court catalyst was her win over Belinda Bencic, which sent her to her first Wimbledon quarterfinal. Separate coverage also highlighted an all-USA quarterfinal matchup with Jessica Pegula. That sequence may have supported the repricing, but the sources only confirm the result and matchup framing, not a single definitive cause for the odds move.

    What changed

    Gauff advanced to her first Wimbledon quarterfinal, and her winner price surged 5.9 points from 3.9% to 9.8% over the measured 24-hour window.

    What to watch next

    Watch the Pegula quarterfinal result and any further Wimbledon coverage; another win could prompt more repricing, while a loss would likely reverse some of the recent move.

    Sources