Crypto markets, explained
Crypto
Current crypto market movers, source-linked explanations, and context for ETF flows, token events, regulation, and protocol milestones.
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Last 24 hours
Biggest recent shifts
Crypto
Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?
94.5%
95%
Largest mover: an outcome
Crypto
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21?
94.5%
95%
38% → 95% in 24h
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
59.5%
60%
Largest mover: an outcome
Crypto
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
59.5%
60%
52% → 60% in 24h
Context
Why these markets move
Crypto markets can reprice around ETF flow data, exchange listings, protocol upgrades, enforcement actions, macro liquidity, and social rumor cycles. Source confidence matters because social chatter often arrives before official confirmation.
Signals to watch
- ETF and exchange flow data
- Official regulator or issuer statements
- Protocol upgrade and token unlock calendars
What changed recently
Recent reporting
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? — probability rises to 37.5%
The tracked probability rose to 37.5%, up 3.0 percentage points from 34.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? — probability rises to 59.5%
The tracked probability rose to 59.5%, up 3.0 percentage points from 56.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Will Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2027? — probability rises to 43%
The tracked probability rose to 43%, up 7.5 percentage points from 35.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Will Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2027? — probability falls to 35.5%
The tracked probability fell to 35.5%, down 3.5 percentage points from 39% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Will Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2027? — probability rises to 39.5%
The tracked probability rose to 39.5%, up 9.0 percentage points from 30.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Will Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2027? — probability falls to 30.5%
The tracked probability fell to 30.5%, down 11.5 percentage points from 42% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Newly eligible
New crypto markets
Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?
94.5% 94.5% · Data ready
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21?
94.5% 94.5% · Data ready
Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
37% 37.0% · Data ready
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?
37% 37.0% · Data ready
Will StandX launch a token by ___?
2.3% 2.3% · Sourced timeline
Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?
2.3% 2.3% · Data ready
Crypto
Markets worth watching
Showing 38 of 38 matched markets.
The filter applies to this curated selection.
Search all coverage →Crypto
Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?
37%
Largest 24h move
24h volume
$9.6K
Latest: Probability moved from 43.5% to 36.5% (-7 percentage points). Observations were 16 minutes 3 seconds apart: 2026-10-20 12:01:26 UTC to 2026-10-20 12:17:29 UTC.
Crypto
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Yes
37%
No
63%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$9.6K
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
60%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
38%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
33%
Largest 24h move
24h volume
$276.1K
Latest: Probability moved from 34.5% to 37.5% (+3 percentage points). Observations were 2 hours 25 minutes 23 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 07:04:50 UTC to 2026-10-21 09:30:13 UTC.
Crypto
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
60%
No
41%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$9.2K
Crypto
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
33%
No
68%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$16.1K
Crypto
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
38%
No
63%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$1.8K
Crypto
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
22%
No
79%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$2.1K
Crypto
Will Perpl launch a token by ___?
Will Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2027?
44%
Largest 24h move
24h volume
$60
Latest: Probability moved from 35.5% to 43% (+7.5 percentage points). Observations were 15 minutes 52 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 03:32:02 UTC to 2026-10-21 03:47:54 UTC.
Crypto
Will Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Yes
44%
No
56%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$60
Crypto
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
8%
No
93%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$166.9K
Crypto
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
23%
No
78%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$21K
Crypto
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
14%
No
86%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$10.7K
Crypto
Will StandX launch a token by ___?
Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?
2%
Largest 24h move
24h volume
$15
Latest: Probability remained at 1.45% (0 percentage points). Observations were 17 minutes 8 seconds apart: 2026-10-19 06:30:12 UTC to 2026-10-19 06:47:20 UTC. The move also met PolySays' high-volume-shock threshold. Reported rolling 24-hour volume changed from $910.51 to $1,910.51.
Crypto
Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Yes
2%
No
98%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$15
Crypto
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by ___ ?
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
17%
Largest 24h move
24h volume
$39.3
Latest: Probability moved from 29.7% to 15.5% (-14.2 percentage points). Observations were 15 minutes 18 seconds apart: 2026-10-19 08:17:01 UTC to 2026-10-19 08:32:19 UTC.
Crypto
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Yes
17%
No
83%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$39.3
Crypto
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
5%
Largest 24h move
24h volume
$15.6K
Latest: Probability remained at 5.75% (0 percentage points). Observations were 14 minutes 54 seconds apart: 2026-10-19 09:46:40 UTC to 2026-10-19 10:01:34 UTC. The move also met PolySays' high-volume-shock threshold. Reported rolling 24-hour volume changed from $3,594.1678 to $8,808.9242.
Crypto
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes
5%
No
95%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$15.6K
Crypto
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
5%
No
95%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$14.2K
Crypto
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
1%
No
99%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$155.9
Crypto
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
3%
No
97%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$8.1K
Crypto
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
1%
No
99%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$129.7
Crypto
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
1%
No
99%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$453.4
Crypto
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
2%
No
98%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$236.2
Crypto
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
3%
No
97%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$4K
Crypto
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
10%
No
91%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$7.3K
Crypto
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
2%
No
98%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$5.8K
Crypto
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$2.8K
Crypto
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
3%
No
97%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$2.4K
Crypto
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
10%
No
91%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$765.7
Crypto
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$1K
Crypto
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
2%
No
98%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$273.4
Crypto
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
0%
No
100%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$246.4
Crypto
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
1%
No
99%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$173.7
Crypto
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
6%
No
95%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$104.7
Crypto
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
2%
No
98%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$42.5
Crypto
Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21?
95%
Largest 24h move
24h volume
$72.2K
Crypto
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21?
Yes
95%
No
6%
Leader 24h
24h volume
$72.2K