Crypto markets, explained

Crypto

Current crypto market movers, source-linked explanations, and context for ETF flows, token events, regulation, and protocol milestones.

Trending markets

Get alerts for Crypto

We email only when PolySays publishes a meaningful update, not every price move.

Why these markets move

Crypto markets can reprice around ETF flow data, exchange listings, protocol upgrades, enforcement actions, macro liquidity, and social rumor cycles. Source confidence matters because social chatter often arrives before official confirmation.

Signals to watch

  • ETF and exchange flow data
  • Official regulator or issuer statements
  • Protocol upgrade and token unlock calendars

What changed recently

Recent market explanations

Unexplained Move

Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet

Yes moved lower from 26.0% to 14.5% (-11.5 points) between 2026-07-13T15:00:23.000Z and 2026-07-14T15:30:05.042Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

Unexplained Move

Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet

Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027 moved lower from 57.5% to 43.5% (-14.0 points) between 2026-07-09T01:00:05.090Z and 2026-07-14T13:22:30.943Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

Odds Plunge

Base token market drops 4 points after Crypto Briefing reports a pivot to tokenized assets

The market for a Base token by December 31, 2026 fell from 21.5% to 17.5% over roughly 24 hours. A Google News RSS item from Crypto Briefing said Base pivoted from content coins to tokenized assets after an initiative failed, which may have weighed on expectations.

Unexplained Move

Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet

Yes moved higher from 14.0% to 20.4% (+6.4 points) between 2026-07-06T19:52:02.910Z and 2026-07-14T12:30:06.428Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

Unexplained Move

Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet

Yes moved lower from 31.6% to 20.4% (-11.2 points) between 2026-07-06T21:30:06.160Z and 2026-07-14T12:30:06.428Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

Unexplained Move

Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet

Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027 moved lower from 55.0% to 47.5% (-7.5 points) between 2026-07-08T21:00:04.929Z and 2026-07-08T21:30:04.943Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

Crypto

Latest news for active markets

Showing 100 of 100 matched markets.

activeCrypto

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Latest: The market repriced by -11.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

No

84%

Yes

17%

Leader 24h

-2%

Volume

13.7

activeCrypto

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Latest: The market repriced by -14.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

December 31, 2027

41%

June 30, 2027

22%

December 31, 2026

14%

Largest 24h move

June 30, 2027 -10%

Volume

45.4

activeCrypto

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

Latest: Yes odds for Base launching a token by December 31, 2026 fell 4.0 points over about 24 hours, from 21.5% to 17.5%.

December 31, 2027

66%

June 30, 2027

57%

December 31, 2026

18%

Largest 24h move

December 31, 2026 -4%

Volume

6.9K

activeCrypto

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Latest: The market repriced by +6.4 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

No

80%

Yes

20%

Leader 24h

+2%

Volume

59.8K

activeCrypto

MegaETH airdrop by...?

Latest: The market repriced by -5.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

December 31, 2026

18%

June 30

0%

Largest 24h move

June 30 -5%

Volume

3.8K

activeCrypto

Will Unit launch a token by ___ ?

Latest: The market repriced by +5.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

2027

53%

2026

14%

Largest 24h move

2027 +5%

Volume

85

activeCrypto

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?

Latest: The market repriced by -5.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

No

81%

Yes

19%

Leader 24h

+2%

Volume

101.6K

activeCrypto

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

Latest: The market repriced by -7.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

Yes

55%

No

45%

Leader 24h

-0%

Volume

149.5K

activeCrypto

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Latest: The market repriced by -7.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

No

76%

Yes

24%

Leader 24h

+1%

Volume

545K

activeCrypto

Stablecoins depeg before 2027?

Latest: The market repriced by -9.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

USDTb depeg by December 31

14%

GHO depeg by December 31

10%

USD0 depeg by December 31

10%

Largest 24h move

USDTb depeg by December 31 -10%

Volume

94.7

activeCrypto

Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?

Latest: The market repriced by -9.2 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

December 31 2026

76%

September 30 2026

75%

June 30 2026

1%

Largest 24h move

December 31 2026 -9%

Volume

509.9

activeCrypto

Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?

Latest: The market repriced by -6.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

December 31 2027

92%

June 30 2027

84%

December 31 2026

62%

Largest 24h move

December 31 2027 +37%

Volume

10.1K

activeCrypto

HUDL FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Latest: The market repriced by -16.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

$200M one day after launch

43%

$10M one day after launch

30%

$400M one day after launch

29%

Largest 24h move

$100M one day after launch -16%

Volume

2.3K

activeCrypto

Perena FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Latest: The market repriced by +5.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

$200M one day after launch

43%

$300M one day after launch

40%

$100M one day after launch

28%

Largest 24h move

$500M one day after launch -43%

Volume

17.1

activeCrypto

Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?

Latest: The market repriced by +7.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

Yes

74%

No

27%

Leader 24h

+6%

Volume

364.4

activeCrypto

Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?

Latest: Yes odds for the Dec. 31, 2026 Variational token-launch market fell from 0.706 to 0.6565 over the supplied 24-hour window.

December 31, 2026

66%

September 30, 2026

14%

June 30, 2026

1%

Largest 24h move

December 31, 2026 -5%

Volume

23.3

activeCrypto

Will fomo.family launch a token by ___ ?

Latest: The market repriced by -26.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

December 31 2027

42%

December 31 2026

28%

September 30 2026

14%

Largest 24h move

December 31 2026 -27%

Volume

3.2K

activeCrypto

Felix FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Latest: The market repriced by -14.4 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

$25M one day after launch

38%

$50M one day after launch

20%

$100M one day after launch

14%

Largest 24h move

$800M one day after launch -6%

Volume

1.6K

activeCrypto

What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?

Latest: The market repriced by -16.6 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026

61%

Dogecoin reach $0.20 by December 31, 2026

20%

Dogecoin reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026

18%

Largest 24h move

Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026 -4%

Volume

78.6

activeCrypto

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

Latest: The market repriced by -13.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026

77%

Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026

59%

Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026

52%

Largest 24h move

Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026 -12%

Volume

6.9K

activeCrypto

Will prjx launch a token by ___ ?

Latest: The market repriced by -8.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

2027

38%

2026

17%

Largest 24h move

2026 -9%

Volume

217.1

activeCrypto

Will Loopscale launch a token by ___?

Latest: The market repriced by +17.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

December 31, 2027

57%

December 31, 2026

40%

September 30, 2026

31%

Largest 24h move

September 30, 2026 +16%

Volume

604.5

activeCrypto

Dreamcash FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Latest: The market repriced by -10.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

$20M one day after launch

62%

$50M one day after launch

58%

$200M one day after launch

46%

Largest 24h move

$400M one day after launch -25%

Volume

1.8K

activeCrypto

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Latest: The market repriced by +11.3 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

No

87%

Yes

13%

Leader 24h

-11%

Volume

3.6K

activeCrypto

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Latest: The market repriced by +5.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch

40%

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch

39%

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch

38%

Largest 24h move

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch +6%

Volume

9.5K

activeCrypto

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

Latest: The market repriced by +8.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026

82%

Solana reach $90 by December 31, 2026

67%

Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026

60%

Largest 24h move

Solana reach $80 by December 31, 2026 -21%

Volume

7.6K

activeCrypto

Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?

Latest: The market repriced by +11.1 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

No

83%

Yes

17%

Leader 24h

-11%

Volume

15.8

activeCrypto

What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027?

Latest: The market repriced by +5.3 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

15 Gwei before 2027

12%

5 Gwei before 2027

9%

25 Gwei before 2027

8%

Largest 24h move

25 Gwei before 2027 +5%

Volume

305.5

activeCrypto

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026

100%

Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026

92%

Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026

80%

Largest 24h move

Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026 -13%

Volume

347.5K

activeCrypto

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

No

78%

Yes

22%

Leader 24h

+1%

Volume

133.9K

activeCrypto

Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?

No

88%

Yes

13%

Leader 24h

+1%

Volume

104.4K

activeCrypto

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No

92%

Yes

8%

Leader 24h

-1%

Volume

66.7K

activeCrypto

Tom Lee charged by December 31?

No

95%

Yes

6%

Leader 24h

—

Volume

58.5K

activeCrypto

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026

91%

Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026

59%

Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026

56%

Largest 24h move

Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026 -14%

Volume

49.4K

activeCrypto

Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?

No

90%

Yes

10%

Leader 24h

—

Volume

46.2K

activeCrypto

Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026?

No

88%

Yes

12%

Leader 24h

+2%

Volume

20.4K

activeCrypto

Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?

No

64%

Yes

36%

Leader 24h

+1%

Volume

19K

activeCrypto

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

December 31, 2026

5%

June 30, 2026

0%

Largest 24h move

December 31, 2026 +1%

Volume

16.9K

activeCrypto

Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

No

73%

Yes

27%

Leader 24h

+1%

Volume

16.7K

activeCrypto

Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?

No

51%

Yes

50%

Leader 24h

-3%

Volume

15.6K

activeCrypto

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

No

72%

Yes

28%

Leader 24h

—

Volume

14K

activeCrypto

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No

57%

Yes

43%

Leader 24h

-2%

Volume

11K

activeCrypto

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

December 31, 2026

6%

September 30, 2026

2%

June 30, 2026

0%

Largest 24h move

December 31, 2026 -1%

Volume

9.7K

activeCrypto

Solana all time high by ___?

December 31, 2026

3%

September 30, 2026

3%

June 30, 2026

0%

Largest 24h move

December 31, 2026 -2%

Volume

8.5K

activeCrypto

Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

No

89%

Yes

12%

Leader 24h

+10%

Volume

8.4K

activeCrypto

Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$50M one day after launch

57%

$100M one day after launch

48%

$200M one day after launch

27%

Largest 24h move

$50M one day after launch -4%

Volume

4.4K

activeCrypto

Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?

December 31 2026

49%

September 30 2026

21%

June 30 2026

1%

Largest 24h move

September 30 2026 +10%

Volume

3.9K

activeCrypto

Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2026

20%

September 30, 2026

6%

June 30

0%

Largest 24h move

September 30, 2026 +1%

Volume

3.7K

activeCrypto

Ethereum all time high by ___?

December 31, 2026

6%

September 30, 2026

3%

June 30, 2026

0%

Largest 24h move

September 30, 2026 -1%

Volume

3K

activeCrypto

Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?

No

87%

Yes

14%

Leader 24h

—

Volume

2.9K

activeCrypto

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$150M one day after launch

74%

$300M one day after launch

48%

$500M one day after launch

30%

Largest 24h move

$150M one day after launch -2%

Volume

2.6K

activeCrypto

XRP all time high by ___?

December 31, 2026

7%

September 30, 2026

5%

June 30, 2026

0%

Largest 24h move

December 31, 2026 +1%

Volume

2.4K

activeCrypto

StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$200M one day after launch

62%

$400M one day after launch

37%

$800M one day after launch

19%

Largest 24h move

$400M one day after launch +2%

Volume

2.3K

activeCrypto

Pacifica FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$300M one day after launch

13%

$500M one day after launch

11%

$800M one day after launch

8%

Largest 24h move

$500M one day after launch +4%

Volume

1.8K

activeCrypto

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026

33%

Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026

22%

Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026

20%

Largest 24h move

Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026 -7%

Volume

1.8K

activeCrypto

Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?

No

62%

Yes

38%

Leader 24h

+2%

Volume

1.5K

activeCrypto

Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$70M one day after launch

63%

$150M one day after launch

20%

$200M one day after launch

18%

Largest 24h move

$300M one day after launch +3%

Volume

1.4K

activeCrypto

Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$300M one day after launch

26%

$100M one day after launch

26%

$500M one day after launch

25%

Largest 24h move

$700M one day after launch -5%

Volume

1.4K

activeCrypto

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$100M one day after launch

95%

$200M one day after launch

94%

$300M one day after launch

87%

Largest 24h move

$4B one day after launch +5%

Volume

1.2K

activeCrypto

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?

December 31

37%

June 30

0%

Largest 24h move

December 31 -2%

Volume

1.2K

activeCrypto

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

No

84%

Yes

17%

Leader 24h

+1%

Volume

1.2K

activeCrypto

Will Ventuals launch a token by ___ ?

December 31 2026

7%

September 30 2026

3%

June 30 2026

0%

Largest 24h move

December 31 2026 +2%

Volume

1K

activeCrypto

Will Nansen launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027

46%

December 31, 2026

24%

September 30, 2026

7%

Largest 24h move

December 31, 2026 +2%

Volume

1K

activeCrypto

Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2027

27%

December 31, 2026

25%

September 30, 2026

11%

Largest 24h move

December 31, 2027 -14%

Volume

766.6

activeCrypto

Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$100M one day after launch

40%

$200M one day after launch

25%

$300M one day after launch

23%

Largest 24h move

$100M one day after launch -4%

Volume

741.2

activeCrypto

Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$10M one day after launch

46%

$25M one day after launch

23%

$50M one day after launch

22%

Largest 24h move

$50M one day after launch -4%

Volume

703.5

activeCrypto

Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No

53%

Yes

47%

Leader 24h

-4%

Volume

625

activeCrypto

What price will XRP hit in 2026?

XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026

89%

XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026

71%

XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026

29%

Largest 24h move

XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026 +4%

Volume

542

activeCrypto

Will Rabby launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027

37%

December 31, 2026

28%

September 30, 2026

7%

Largest 24h move

December 31, 2027 -4%

Volume

524.3

activeCrypto

Theo FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$100M one day after launch

55%

$300M one day after launch

21%

$700M one day after launch

8%

Largest 24h move

$300M one day after launch -4%

Volume

502.7

activeCrypto

Will Oro launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027

51%

December 31, 2026

19%

September 30, 2026

9%

Largest 24h move

December 31, 2027 -8%

Volume

494.8

activeCrypto

Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?

No

58%

Yes

42%

Leader 24h

—

Volume

438.7

activeCrypto

OKX IPO in 2026?

No

89%

Yes

11%

Leader 24h

-1%

Volume

360.8

activeCrypto

Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?

December 31 2026

27%

September 30 2026

14%

June 30 2026

1%

Largest 24h move

December 31 2026 +3%

Volume

325.5

activeCrypto

Consensys IPO by ___ ?

December 31 2026

22%

September 30 2026

9%

June 30 2026

0%

Largest 24h move

December 31 2026 0%

Volume

300.2

activeCrypto

Will Exponent launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027

53%

September 30, 2026

28%

December 31, 2026

27%

Largest 24h move

December 31, 2026 -7%

Volume

287.1

activeCrypto

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

$3 before 2027

18%

$4 before 2027

17%

$6 before 2027

10%

Largest 24h move

$3 before 2027 -3%

Volume

271.4

activeCrypto

Will Spark launch a token by ___ ?

2027

39%

2026

27%

Largest 24h move

2026 +3%

Volume

233.4

activeCrypto

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

No

75%

Yes

26%

Leader 24h

+3%

Volume

226.1

activeCrypto

Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?

2027

35%

2026

18%

Largest 24h move

2027 -1%

Volume

217.3

activeCrypto

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?

No

62%

Yes

38%

Leader 24h

—

Volume

201

activeCrypto

Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$100M one day after launch

68%

$250M one day after launch

59%

$500M one day after launch

50%

Largest 24h move

$250M one day after launch -2%

Volume

179

activeCrypto

Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1B

23%

$2B

16%

$3B

13%

Largest 24h move

$1B -2%

Volume

176.7

activeCrypto

Hyperliquid listed on Binance by ...?

Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026

20%

June 30, 2026

1%

Largest 24h move

Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026 +2%

Volume

124.5

activeCrypto

Will 6+ coins launched in 2026 end the year above $1B FDV?

No

62%

Yes

38%

Leader 24h

-1%

Volume

116

activeCrypto

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026

67%

BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026

34%

BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026

18%

Largest 24h move

BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026 +4%

Volume

99.7

activeCrypto

What will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest reach in 2026?

$4B in 2026

93%

$5B in 2026

73%

$6B in 2026

44%

Largest 24h move

$5B in 2026 -1%

Volume

97.4

activeCrypto

Makina FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$100M one day after launch

16%

$80M one day after launch

16%

$200M one day after launch

15%

Largest 24h move

$300M one day after launch -3%

Volume

85.5

activeCrypto

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

No

95%

Yes

5%

Leader 24h

—

Volume

70

activeCrypto

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

No

95%

Yes

5%

Leader 24h

—

Volume

67.1

activeCrypto

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

No

92%

Yes

9%

Leader 24h

-1%

Volume

61

activeCrypto

Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

No

91%

Yes

9%

Leader 24h

-1%

Volume

55.6

activeCrypto

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

50

75%

20

14%

10

11%

Largest 24h move

5 +4%

Volume

47.4

activeCrypto

Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?

No

67%

Yes

33%

Leader 24h

-16%

Volume

39.9

activeCrypto

Will RWAs hit $50B by December 31, 2026?

No

51%

Yes

50%

Leader 24h

—

Volume

34.5

activeCrypto

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?

No

86%

Yes

14%

Leader 24h

-3%

Volume

31

activeCrypto

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

No

90%

Yes

10%

Leader 24h

—

Volume

29.8

activeCrypto

Will GMGN launch a token by ___ ?

2027

52%

2026

12%

Largest 24h move

2027 0%

Volume

21.3

activeCrypto

Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?

No

90%

Yes

11%

Leader 24h

—

Volume

19.1

activeCrypto

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

Chainlink dip to $6 by December 31, 2026

58%

Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026

36%

Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026

28%

Largest 24h move

Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026 -4%

Volume

8.5