Crypto markets, explained
Crypto
Current crypto market movers, source-linked explanations, and context for ETF flows, token events, regulation, and protocol milestones.
Moving now
Biggest recent shifts
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026 65%
What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August 59%
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?
No 63%
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
No 85%
Why these markets move
Crypto markets can reprice around ETF flow data, exchange listings, protocol upgrades, enforcement actions, macro liquidity, and social rumor cycles. Source confidence matters because social chatter often arrives before official confirmation.
Signals to watch
- ETF and exchange flow data
- Official regulator or issuer statements
- Protocol upgrade and token unlock calendars
What changed recently
Recent market explanations
Ethereum’s Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026 level drops: Yes odds 40% → 29.5%
Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026 moved lower from 40.0% to 29.5% (-10.5 points) between 2026-08-19T21:03:08.708Z and 2026-08-20T21:03:08.708Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Ethereum’s Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026 level slips: Yes odds 28.1% → 18.1%
Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026 moved lower from 28.1% to 18.1% (-10.0 points) between 2026-08-19T19:18:05.817Z and 2026-08-20T19:18:05.817Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Bitcoin’s Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026 level slips: Yes odds 19.5% → 13.5%
Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026 moved lower from 19.5% to 13.5% (-6.0 points) between 2026-08-19T19:03:05.429Z and 2026-08-20T19:03:05.429Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Polymarket odds for a $40K Bitcoin dip fall 7 points in 24 hours
Polymarket’s Yes odds for Bitcoin dipping to $40,000 by December 31, 2026 dropped from 15.5% to 8.5% over the 24 hours ending August 20, 2026 19:03 UTC. The move appears to have coincided with broader bullish Bitcoin chatter, but the exact driver is unconfirmed.
Ethereum’s Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026 level drifts higher: Yes odds 52% → 60.5%
Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026 moved higher from 52.0% to 60.5% (+8.5 points) between 2026-08-20T06:03:05.406Z and 2026-08-20T18:33:05.556Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Ethereum’s Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026 level jumps: Yes odds 36% → 60.5%
Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026 moved higher from 36.0% to 60.5% (+24.5 points) between 2026-08-19T18:33:05.556Z and 2026-08-20T18:33:05.556Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Newly eligible
New crypto markets
Bitcoin above ___ on August 20?: Odds, News & Timeline
Yes 100.0% · Sourced timeline
What price will Ethereum hit in August?: Odds,...
No 96.9% · Sourced timeline
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?: Odds, News...
Yes 52.5% · Sourced timeline
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: Odds, News &...
No 66.0% · Sourced timeline
Bitcoin above ___ on August 19?: Odds, News & Timeline
Yes 99.6% · Sourced timeline
Bitcoin above ___ on August 18?: Odds, News & Timeline
Yes 100.0% · Sourced timeline
Crypto
Latest movement explanations
Showing 100 of 100 matched markets.
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Latest: The market repriced by -6.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026
65%
Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026
49%
Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026
38%
Largest 24h move
Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026 +22%
Volume
1.2M
What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
Latest: The market repriced by +14.2 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August
59%
Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August
44%
Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August
23%
Largest 24h move
Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August -18%
Volume
1.1M
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Latest: The market repriced by -11.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
No
85%
Yes
16%
Leader 24h
+11%
Volume
250
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Latest: The market repriced by +12.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
No
84%
Yes
17%
Leader 24h
+3%
Volume
5
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?
Latest: The market repriced by +5.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
June 30, 2027
37%
December 31, 2027
34%
December 31, 2026
14%
Largest 24h move
June 30, 2027 +5%
Volume
3.8
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
Latest: The market repriced by -11.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
No
81%
Yes
19%
Leader 24h
—
Volume
175.1K
Bitcoin above ___ on August 27?
$66,000 on August 27
100%
$68,000 on August 27
100%
$70,000 on August 27
100%
Largest 24h move
$82,000 on August 27 -6%
Volume
461.4K
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
No
71%
Yes
29%
Leader 24h
+2%
Volume
101.6K
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No
84%
Yes
16%
Leader 24h
+2%
Volume
59.8K
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
57%
June 30, 2027
42%
December 31, 2026
14%
Largest 24h move
December 31, 2026 -4%
Volume
4.7K
Will Unit launch a token by ___ ?
2027
45%
2026
6%
Largest 24h move
2027 +5%
Volume
85
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?
No
63%
Yes
38%
Leader 24h
-16%
Volume
39.9
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