Who will Bernie endorse?
This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election.
- Current leader
- James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET 75%
- Largest 24h move
- Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET -2%
- 24h volume
- 16.8
- Liquidity
- 32.7K
Top candidates
6 outcomes
James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET
75%
-1% 24h
Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET
35%
-2% 24h
Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET
12%
-0% 24h
Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET
8%
-0% 24h
Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET
7%
+0% 24h
Show all outcomes
Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET
7%
+0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves No
If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET probability of 75%.
Story so far
Needs a refreshNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
No major update has changed the story in 8 days.
Latest update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Yes moved higher from 64.5% to 69.5% (+5.0 points) between 2026-07-05T19:52:02.907Z and 2026-07-06T19:52:02.907Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The "Yes" outcome in "Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?" made a sharp move from 64.5% to 69.5% between 2026-07-05T19:52:02.907Z and 2026-07-06T19:52:02.907Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
What changed
The market repriced by +5.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.