Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Felix Protocol officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Current leader
- No 80%
- Leader 24h
- +1%
- Volume
- 59.8K
- Liquidity
- 1.3K
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
80%
+1% 24h
Yes
20%
-2% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Felix Protocol officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Felix Protocol, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Living timeline · 5 significant updates
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Odds chart
Probability over time
Odds chart showing latest No probability of 81%.
Story so far
Limited confidenceNo story summary has been written yet.
The latest move is visible, but the public source trail is still thin.
Latest update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Yes moved higher from 14.0% to 20.4% (+6.4 points) between 2026-07-06T19:52:02.910Z and 2026-07-14T12:30:06.428Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The "Yes" outcome in "Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?" made a sharp move from 14.0% to 20.4% between 2026-07-06T19:52:02.910Z and 2026-07-14T12:30:06.428Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
What changed
The market repriced by +6.4 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.