activeSportsCloses Jan 1

Superettan (Sweden): Team promoted to Allsvenskan (Sweden) (2026)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team achieves promotion from the Superettan (Sweden) to the Allsvenskan (Sweden) for the 2027 season at the conclusion of the current league season.

Current leader

79.5%

80%

Largest 24h move+13.9 pp 24h

24h volume: $0
Liquidity: $620.6
Scheduled close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

Top candidates

6 outcomes

Will IFK Norrköping be promoted to Allsvenskan (Sweden)?
+13.9 pp 24h80%
Will Helsingborgs IF be promoted to Allsvenskan (Sweden)?
0.0 pp 24h45%
Will Norrby IF be promoted to Allsvenskan (Sweden)?
0.0 pp 24h5%
Will GIF Sundsvall be promoted to Allsvenskan (Sweden)?
0.0 pp 24h1%
Will Örebro SK be promoted to Allsvenskan (Sweden)?
0.0 pp 24h1%

Show all outcomes

Will Ljungskile SK be promoted to Allsvenskan (Sweden)?
0%
0.0 pp

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring onlyOct 21

Will IFK Norrköping be promoted to Allsvenskan (Sweden)? — probability rises to 77.75%

The tracked probability rose to 77.75%, up 3.7 percentage points from 74.05% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 74% → 78%

+3.7 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

Coverage updated Oct 21, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 74.05% to 77.75% (+3.7 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T06:50:25.251Z to 2026-10-21T07:04:50.573Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 74.05% → 77.75%
What changed
Probability moved from 74.05% to 77.75% (+3.7 percentage points). Observations were 14 minutes 25 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 06:50:25 UTC to 2026-10-21 07:04:50 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
Coverage updated Oct 21, 2026, 6:53 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 70.05% to 74.05% (+4 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T06:32:28.344Z to 2026-10-21T06:50:25.251Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 21, 2026, 6:37 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 65.85% to 70.05% (+4.2 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T06:19:22.060Z to 2026-10-21T06:32:28.344Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 21, 2026, 6:22 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 57.55% to 65.85% (+8.3 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T05:47:59.199Z to 2026-10-21T06:19:22.060Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 21, 2026, 5:50 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 52.75% to 57.55% (+4.8 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T05:30:29.244Z to 2026-10-21T05:47:59.199Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 21, 2026, 5:34 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 85.2% to 52.75% (-32.45 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T05:17:25.794Z to 2026-10-21T05:30:29.244Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 21, 2026, 5:19 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 80.3% to 85.2% (+4.9 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T05:02:32.123Z to 2026-10-21T05:17:25.794Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 21, 2026, 5:04 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 75.8% to 80.3% (+4.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T04:47:12.589Z to 2026-10-21T05:02:32.123Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team achieves promotion from the Superettan (Sweden) to the Allsvenskan (Sweden) for the 2027 season at the conclusion of the current league season.

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Allsvenskan (Sweden) for the 2027 season through their final standing in the Superettan (Sweden), via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Superettan (Sweden) and Allsvenskan (Sweden).

If the 2026 Superettan (Sweden) season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Superettan (Sweden) and Allsvenskan (Sweden). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will IFK Norrköping be promoted to Allsvenskan (Sweden)? — probability rises to 77.75%

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