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Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club - First Team to Score

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In the upcoming Saudi Professional League match between Abha Saudi Club and Al Shabab Saudi Club, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:10 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Abha Saudi Club" if Abha Saudi Club are the first to score within…

Current leader

93%

93%

Largest 24h move+41.5 pp 24h
24h volume
$2.1K
Liquidity
$1.8K
Scheduled close

Top candidates

1 outcome

  • Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Neither team to score first?

    +41.5 pp 24h93%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring only

Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Neither team to score first? — probability rises to 93%

The tracked probability rose to 93%, up 6.5 percentage points from 86.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 87% → 93%

+6.5 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability fell to 85.5%, down 3.0 percentage points from 88.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 86.5% to 93% (+6.5 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T09:02:53.478Z to 2026-11-04T10:20:23.846Z (UTC).

    Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.

    The measured move

    Yes: 86.5% → 93%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 86.5% to 93% (+6.5 percentage points). Observations were 1 hour 17 minutes 30 seconds apart: 2026-11-04 09:02:53 UTC to 2026-11-04 10:20:23 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

  2. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 88.5% to 85.5% (-3 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T08:32:35.065Z to 2026-11-04T08:47:23.779Z (UTC).

  3. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 84% to 88.5% (+4.5 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T08:17:22.256Z to 2026-11-04T08:32:35.065Z (UTC).

  4. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 88% to 84.5% (-3.5 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T07:33:40.285Z to 2026-11-04T07:48:59.499Z (UTC).

  5. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 82% to 86% (+4 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T06:51:19.676Z to 2026-11-04T07:01:17.013Z (UTC).

  6. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 86% to 82% (-4 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T06:24:46.594Z to 2026-11-04T06:51:19.676Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

In the upcoming Saudi Professional League match between Abha Saudi Club and Al Shabab Saudi Club, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:10 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Abha Saudi Club" if Abha Saudi Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

This market will resolve to "Al Shabab Saudi Club" if Al Shabab Saudi Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Neither".

Read the complete resolution rules

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "Neither".

The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game.

If the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result.

In any other case, including a result awarded that differs from the score as played, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.

Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition.

If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from Saudi Professional League (. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "Neither".

Maps and resolution sources

Living timeline · 6 significant updates

Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Neither team to score first? — probability rises to 93%

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