In the upcoming Saudi Professional League match between Abha Saudi Club and Al Shabab Saudi Club, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:10 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Abha Saudi Club" if Abha Saudi Club are the first to score within…
Leading outcome
93%
93%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 93%, up 6.5 percentage points from 86.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 87% → 93%
+6.5 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 86.5% to 93% (+6.5 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T09:02:53.478Z to 2026-11-04T10:20:23.846Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 86.5% → 93%
Probability moved from 86.5% to 93% (+6.5 percentage points). Observations were 1 hour 17 minutes 30 seconds apart: 2026-11-04 09:02:53 UTC to 2026-11-04 10:20:23 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 88.5% to 85.5% (-3 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T08:32:35.065Z to 2026-11-04T08:47:23.779Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 84% to 88.5% (+4.5 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T08:17:22.256Z to 2026-11-04T08:32:35.065Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 88% to 84.5% (-3.5 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T07:33:40.285Z to 2026-11-04T07:48:59.499Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 82% to 86% (+4 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T06:51:19.676Z to 2026-11-04T07:01:17.013Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 86% to 82% (-4 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T06:24:46.594Z to 2026-11-04T06:51:19.676Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
In the upcoming Saudi Professional League match between Abha Saudi Club and Al Shabab Saudi Club, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:10 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Abha Saudi Club" if Abha Saudi Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
This market will resolve to "Al Shabab Saudi Club" if Al Shabab Saudi Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Neither".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "Neither".
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.
The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game.
If the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result.
In any other case, including a result awarded that differs from the score as played, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition.
If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from Saudi Professional League (. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "Neither".