This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player records 40 or more goals during the 2026-27 NHL regular season.
Leading outcome
43.4%
43%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 43.35%, up 16.8 percentage points from 26.6% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 27% → 43%
+16.8 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 26.6% to 43.35% (+16.75 percentage points), from 2026-11-02T21:37:59.322Z to 2026-11-02T23:41:27.799Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 26.6% → 43.35%
Probability moved from 26.6% to 43.35% (+16.75 percentage points). Observations were 2 hours 3 minutes 28 seconds apart: 2026-11-02 21:37:59 UTC to 2026-11-02 23:41:27 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 43.3% to 26.6% (-16.7 percentage points), from 2026-11-02T16:39:37.013Z to 2026-11-02T21:37:59.322Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 3.05% to 43.3% (+40.25 percentage points), from 2026-11-01T17:03:33.161Z to 2026-11-02T16:39:37.013Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 43.35% to 3.05% (-40.3 percentage points), from 2026-11-01T16:48:23.341Z to 2026-11-01T17:03:33.161Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 3.05% to 43.35% (+40.3 percentage points), from 2026-11-01T16:35:06.324Z to 2026-11-01T16:48:23.341Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 43.6% to 3.05% (-40.55 percentage points), from 2026-11-01T16:02:14.910Z to 2026-11-01T16:24:13.148Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 3.05% to 43.35% (+40.3 percentage points), from 2026-11-01T15:33:26.780Z to 2026-11-01T15:47:21.515Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 26.8% to 3.1% (-23.7 percentage points), from 2026-11-01T14:18:43.641Z to 2026-11-01T14:32:37.868Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player records 40 or more goals during the 2026-27 NHL regular season.
Resolves No
Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to record 40 or more goals during the 2026-27 NHL regular season, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NHL regular season is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed player has recorded 40 or more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.