This market will resolve to "Yes" if StandX officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
Leading outcome
2.3%
2%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
VolumeMonitoring onlyProbability remained at 1.45%. Reported rolling 24-hour volume changed from $910.51 to $1,910.51. The cause is not established.
Yes: 1% → 1%
0.0 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability remained at 1.45% (0 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T06:30:12.358Z to 2026-10-19T06:47:20.027Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 1.45% → 1.45%
Probability remained at 1.45% (0 percentage points). Observations were 17 minutes 8 seconds apart: 2026-10-19 06:30:12 UTC to 2026-10-19 06:47:20 UTC. The move also met PolySays' high-volume-shock threshold. Reported rolling 24-hour volume changed from $910.51 to $1,910.51.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability remained at 1.45% (0 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T15:45:28.392Z to 2026-10-18T16:01:46.960Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability remained at 1.2% (0 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T14:18:01.794Z to 2026-10-16T14:31:17.859Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 4.85% to 1.2% (-3.65 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T14:01:11.673Z to 2026-10-16T14:18:01.794Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if StandX officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an official token launched by StandX will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from StandX (, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.