activePoliticsAly Richards +7% 24h

Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.

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Current leader
Aly Richards 74%
Largest 24h move
Aly Richards +7%
24h volume
70
Liquidity
33.9K

Top candidates

5 outcomes

Aly Richards

74%

+7% 24h

Amanda Janoo

40%

-5% 24h

Mike Pieciak

3%

0% 24h

Esther Charlestin

2%

0% 24h

Charity Clark

2%

0% 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Living timeline · 1 significant update

Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Story so far

Needs a refresh

Amanda Janoo moved higher from 19.7% to 40.3% (+20.6 points) between 2026-06-24T18:45:39.602Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:22.227Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

No major update has changed the story in 22 days.

Latest update

Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet

Amanda Janoo moved higher from 19.7% to 40.3% (+20.6 points) between 2026-06-24T18:45:39.602Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:22.227Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • No open questions have been logged yet.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The "Amanda Janoo" outcome in "Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner" made a sharp move from 19.7% to 40.3% between 2026-06-24T18:45:39.602Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:22.227Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.

    What changed

    The market repriced by +20.6 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

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