By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025.
Current leader
11%
11%
2 outcomes
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
MonitoringMonitoring onlyUkraine election called by December 31, 2026 moved higher from 17.5% to 22.5% (+5.0 points) between 2026-07-15T10:00:04.000Z and 2026-07-16T10:00:05.639Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026: 18% → 23%
+5.0 ppStory so far
Recently updatedUkraine election called by December 31, 2026 moved higher from 17.5% to 22.5% (+5.0 points) between 2026-07-15T10:00:04.000Z and 2026-07-16T10:00:05.639Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
The "Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026" outcome in "Ukraine election called by...?" made a sharp move from 17.5% to 22.5% between 2026-07-15T10:00:04.000Z and 2026-07-16T10:00:05.639Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
The measured move
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026: 17.5% → 22.5%
The market repriced by +5.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
December 31, 2026 in Ukraine election called by market rises: Yes odds 17.5% → 22.5%
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