activePoliticsJuly 31, 2026 +0% 24h

Macron out by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).

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Current leader
July 31, 2026 1%
Largest 24h move
July 31, 2026 +0%
24h volume
11.1K
Liquidity
65.8K

Top candidates

2 outcomes

July 31, 2026

1%

+0% 24h

June 30, 2026

0%

0% 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

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Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Living timeline · 0 significant updates

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Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Story so far

Still building

July 31, 2026 is 1%. Track the 24-hour odds move, volume, resolution criteria, chart history, and sourced updates for Macron out by...?.

There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.

Latest update

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The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

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Unresolved questions

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People and institutions to watch

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Source trail

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Living timeline

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