activeCryptoCloses Jan 1

MegaETH airdrop by...?

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Jul 24, 2026, 4:21 PM UTCEditorial method

Post

this is a market on MegaETH airdrop

Current leader

15%

Largest 24h move+0.5 pp 24h

24h volume: $50.3
Liquidity: $573.8
Scheduled close: Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC

Top candidates

1 outcome

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
+0.5 pp 24h15%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

MonitoringMonitoring onlyJul 24

MegaETH perform an airdrop drops: Yes odds 34.5% → 23%

Yes moved lower from 34.5% to 23.0% (-11.5 points) between 2026-07-23T16:00:07.098Z and 2026-07-24T16:00:07.098Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

Yes: 35% → 23%

-11.5 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

The "Yes" outcome in "Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?" made a sharp move from 34.5% to 23.0% between 2026-07-23T16:00:07.098Z and 2026-07-24T16:00:07.098Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
The measured move
Yes: 34.5% → 23.0%
What changed
The market repriced by -11.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

this is a market on MegaETH airdrop

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

MegaETH perform an airdrop drops: Yes odds 34.5% → 23%

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