MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S.
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- Current leader
- Dan Koh 68%
- Largest 24h move
- Dan Koh -2%
- 24h volume
- 1.9K
- Liquidity
- 154.9K
Top candidates
12 outcomes
Dan Koh
68%
-2% 24h
Tram Nguyen
20%
+0% 24h
Beth Andres-Beck
3%
+0% 24h
Rachel Creemers
1%
-0% 24h
Seth Moulton
1%
-0% 24h
Show all outcomes
Mariah Lancaster
1%
-1%
Diann Slavit Baylis
1%
-0%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
1%
+1%
Kevin Larivee
1%
-0%
Dominick Pangallo
1%
0%
Rick Jakious
1%
-0%
John Beccia
0%
-0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Living timeline · 2 significant updates
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Story so far
Needs a refreshTram Nguyen moved lower from 30.3% to 20.4% (-9.8 points) between 2026-06-23T19:22:18.307Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:18.307Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
No major update has changed the story in 22 days.
Latest update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Tram Nguyen moved lower from 30.3% to 20.4% (-9.8 points) between 2026-06-23T19:22:18.307Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:18.307Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The "Tram Nguyen" outcome in "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" made a sharp move from 30.3% to 20.4% between 2026-06-23T19:22:18.307Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:18.307Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
What changed
The market repriced by -9.8 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
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