Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner
By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026.
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- Current leader
- Frank F. Blas Jr. 44%
- Largest 24h move
- Frank F. Blas Jr. +1%
- 24h volume
- 385
- Liquidity
- 33.7K
Top candidates
5 outcomes
Frank F. Blas Jr.
44%
+1% 24h
Vicente Ada
40%
0% 24h
Charlie Hermosa
8%
0% 24h
Douglas Moylan
3%
-0% 24h
Marcel Camacho
1%
0% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Living timeline · 5 significant updates
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Story so far
Needs a refreshFrank F. Blas Jr. moved lower from 54.5% to 44.0% (-10.5 points) between 2026-06-24T18:45:39.616Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:22.240Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
No major update has changed the story in 22 days.
Latest update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Frank F. Blas Jr. moved lower from 54.5% to 44.0% (-10.5 points) between 2026-06-24T18:45:39.616Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:22.240Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The "Frank F. Blas Jr." outcome in "Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner" made a sharp move from 54.5% to 44.0% between 2026-06-24T18:45:39.616Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:22.240Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
What changed
The market repriced by -10.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
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