activePoliticsShannon Bird +1% 24h

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S.

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Current leader
Manny Rutinel 91%
Largest 24h move
Shannon Bird +1%
24h volume
2.2K
Liquidity
99K

Top candidates

6 outcomes

Manny Rutinel

91%

-1% 24h

Shannon Bird

9%

+1% 24h

John Szemler

0%

0% 24h

Dave Young

0%

0% 24h

Yadira Caraveo

0%

0% 24h

Show all outcomes

Amie Baca-Oehlert

0%

0%

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Living timeline · 1 significant update

Shannon Bird rises 3.0 points as CO-08 primary coverage points to a two-candidate race

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Story so far

Needs a refresh

Shannon Bird’s Yes odds moved from 5.5% to 8.5% over the 24 hours ending June 24, while matched coverage framed the CO-08 Democratic primary as a competitive contest.

No major update has changed the story in 22 days.

Latest update

Shannon Bird rises 3.0 points as CO-08 primary coverage points to a two-candidate race

Shannon Bird’s Yes odds moved from 5.5% to 8.5% over the 24 hours ending June 24, while matched coverage framed the CO-08 Democratic primary as a competitive contest.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • No open questions have been logged yet.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. Polymarket-reported pricing showed Shannon Bird’s Yes outcome rising 3.0 percentage points, from 5.5% to 8.5%, between 2026-06-23T19:22:19.662Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:19.662Z. The supplied sources do not confirm a direct cause for the move. They provide contextual election coverage: Colorado Pols reported a new poll showing a two-candidate race in the CO-08 primary, and Roll Call covered the battleground House primary as a test for Democratic voters. Because those articles were published around or after the movement window, the price action may reflect broader attention to the primary rather than a confirmed reaction to any single report.

    What changed

    Bird’s Yes odds increased by 3.0 points over the supplied 24-hour window, moving from 0.055 to 0.085.

    What to watch next

    Watch for full polling details, candidate responses, endorsements, turnout signals, and any additional reporting before the June 30 primary.

    Sources

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