This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League competition.
Leading outcome
5.1%
5%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 4.55%, down 29.2 percentage points from 33.7% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 34% → 5%
-29.1 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 33.7% to 4.55% (-29.15 percentage points), from 2026-11-15T05:04:52.097Z to 2026-11-15T05:19:12.882Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 33.7% → 4.55%
Probability moved from 33.7% to 4.55% (-29.15 percentage points). Observations were 14 minutes 21 seconds apart: 2026-11-15 05:04:52 UTC to 2026-11-15 05:19:12 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 17.55% to 33.7% (+16.15 percentage points), from 2026-11-15T04:47:18.193Z to 2026-11-15T05:04:52.097Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 4.75% to 17.55% (+12.8 percentage points), from 2026-11-15T04:32:56.427Z to 2026-11-15T04:47:18.193Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 14.4% to 4.75% (-9.65 percentage points), from 2026-11-15T04:18:43.961Z to 2026-11-15T04:32:56.427Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 5.15% to 14.4% (+9.25 percentage points), from 2026-11-15T04:04:50.180Z to 2026-11-15T04:18:43.961Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 17.75% to 4.45% (-13.3 percentage points), from 2026-11-15T01:19:17.159Z to 2026-11-15T01:33:34.904Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 20.8% to 17.75% (-3.05 percentage points), from 2026-11-15T01:02:40.018Z to 2026-11-15T01:19:17.159Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 5.15% to 20.8% (+15.65 percentage points), from 2026-11-15T00:49:50.193Z to 2026-11-15T01:02:40.018Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA. If multiple leaders are announced, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 9, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA (; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.