This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League competition.
Current leader
5.8%
6%
2 outcomes
Will Boulaye Dia score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?
Will Randal Kolo Muani score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 5.15%, down 23.1 percentage points from 28.3% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 28% → 5%
-23.2 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 5.15%, down 23.1 percentage points from 28.3% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 28.3% to 5.15% (-23.15 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T05:02:32.123Z to 2026-10-21T05:30:29.244Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 28.3% → 5.15%
Probability moved from 28.3% to 5.15% (-23.15 percentage points). Observations were 27 minutes 57 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 05:02:32 UTC to 2026-10-21 05:30:29 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 5.15% to 28.3% (+23.15 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T04:32:51.721Z to 2026-10-21T05:02:32.123Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 29% to 5.15% (-23.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T02:00:28.960Z to 2026-10-21T02:17:52.020Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 5.15% to 28% (+22.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T01:30:53.499Z to 2026-10-21T01:45:36.198Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 22.5% to 5.75% (-16.75 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T01:02:39.525Z to 2026-10-21T01:30:53.499Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 5.75% to 22.5% (+16.75 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T00:33:00.333Z to 2026-10-21T01:02:39.525Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 35.95% to 5.15% (-30.8 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T22:30:39.856Z to 2026-10-20T23:02:19.474Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 5.15% to 35.95% (+30.8 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T21:47:40.010Z to 2026-10-20T22:15:54.260Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA. If multiple leaders are announced, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 9, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA (; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Will Randal Kolo Muani score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League? — probability falls to 5.15%
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