Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyWill Nico Hischier record 100+ points? — probability rises to 6.5%
The tracked probability rose to 6.5%, up 3.0 percentage points from 3.45% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 3% → 7%
+3.0 pp