Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyWill William Eklund record 100+ points? — probability falls to 6%
The tracked probability fell to 6%, down 44.2 percentage points from 50.25% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 50% → 6%
-44.2 pp