Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyWill Macklin Celebrini record 100+ points? — probability rises to 66.5%
The tracked probability rose to 66.5%, up 4.5 percentage points from 62% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 62% → 67%
+4.5 pp