Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyWill Dylan Holloway record 100+ points? — probability falls to 5.1%
The tracked probability fell to 5.1%, down 46.5 percentage points from 51.65% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 52% → 5%
-46.6 pp