This market will resolve to the next team Brian Thomas Jr. officially joins by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Leading outcome
0.7%
1%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 0.5%, down 7.2 percentage points from 7.75% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 8% → 1%
-7.2 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 7.75% to 0.5% (-7.25 percentage points), from 2026-11-10T23:36:44.505Z to 2026-11-11T00:08:48.043Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 7.75% → 0.5%
Probability moved from 7.75% to 0.5% (-7.25 percentage points). Observations were 32 minutes 4 seconds apart: 2026-11-10 23:36:44 UTC to 2026-11-11 00:08:48 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 0.4% to 7.75% (+7.35 percentage points), from 2026-11-10T23:23:20.043Z to 2026-11-10T23:36:44.505Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This market will resolve to the next team Brian Thomas Jr. officially joins by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Brian Thomas Jr. does not officially join a new team by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Jacksonville Jaguars”. If Brian Thomas Jr. joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Brian Thomas Jr. is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official trade announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Jacksonville Jaguars and/or the acquiring team.
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.
A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.