This market will resolve to the next team Brian Thomas Jr. officially joins by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Current leader
97.9%
98%
10 outcomes
Will Brian Thomas Jr.'s next team be the Jacksonville Jaguars?
Will Brian Thomas Jr.'s next team be the Cincinnati Bengals?
Will Brian Thomas Jr.'s next team be the New Orleans Saints?
Will Brian Thomas Jr.'s next team be the Dallas Cowboys?
Will Brian Thomas Jr.'s next team be the Los Angeles Chargers?
Will Brian Thomas Jr.'s next team be the New York Jets?
0%
-49.5 pp
Will Brian Thomas Jr.'s next team be the Cleveland Browns?
0%
-49.6 pp
Will Brian Thomas Jr.'s next team be the Carolina Panthers?
0%
-49.6 pp
Will Brian Thomas Jr.'s next team be the Tennessee Titans?
0%
-49.6 pp
Will Brian Thomas Jr.'s next team be the Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
0%
-49.9 pp
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 97.9%, up 5.8 percentage points from 92.1% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 92% → 98%
+5.8 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 97.9%, up 5.8 percentage points from 92.1% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 92.1% to 97.9% (+5.8 percentage points), from 2026-11-11T00:08:48.043Z to 2026-11-11T00:41:25.138Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 92.1% → 97.9%
Probability moved from 92.1% to 97.9% (+5.8 percentage points). Observations were 32 minutes 37 seconds apart: 2026-11-11 00:08:48 UTC to 2026-11-11 00:41:25 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 7.75% to 0.5% (-7.25 percentage points), from 2026-11-10T23:36:44.505Z to 2026-11-11T00:08:48.043Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 7.95% to 1.15% (-6.8 percentage points), from 2026-11-10T23:36:44.505Z to 2026-11-10T23:53:24.314Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 0.4% to 7.75% (+7.35 percentage points), from 2026-11-10T23:23:20.043Z to 2026-11-10T23:36:44.505Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 0.3% to 7.95% (+7.65 percentage points), from 2026-11-10T23:23:20.043Z to 2026-11-10T23:36:44.505Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 97.95% to 92.5% (-5.45 percentage points), from 2026-11-10T23:23:20.043Z to 2026-11-10T23:36:42.935Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This market will resolve to the next team Brian Thomas Jr. officially joins by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Brian Thomas Jr. does not officially join a new team by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Jacksonville Jaguars”. If Brian Thomas Jr. joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Brian Thomas Jr. is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official trade announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Jacksonville Jaguars and/or the acquiring team.
A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Living timeline · 6 significant updates
Will Brian Thomas Jr.'s next team be the Jacksonville Jaguars? — probability rises to 97.9%
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