In the upcoming NCAA Men's Basketball game, scheduled for November 2 at 7:00PM ET: If the MIT Engineers win, the market will resolve to "MIT Engineers".
Leading outcome
19.4%
19%
2 outcomes
MIT Engineers
Harvard Crimson
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 19.7%, up 17.5 percentage points from 2.2% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
MIT Engineers: 2% → 20%
+17.5 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 2.2% to 19.7% (+17.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-29T13:16:49.490Z to 2026-10-29T13:48:02.253Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
MIT Engineers: 2.2% → 19.7%
Probability moved from 2.2% to 19.7% (+17.5 percentage points). Observations were 31 minutes 13 seconds apart: 2026-10-29 13:16:49 UTC to 2026-10-29 13:48:02 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
In the upcoming NCAA Men's Basketball game, scheduled for November 2 at 7:00PM ET: If the MIT Engineers win, the market will resolve to "MIT Engineers". If the Harvard Crimson win, the market will resolve to "Harvard Crimson". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
MIT Engineers vs. Harvard Crimson — probability rises to 19.7%
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.