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MIT Engineers vs. Harvard Crimson

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This event is for the CBB game between MIT Engineers and Harvard Crimson on November 2 at 7:00PM ET.

Current leader

19.4%

19%

Largest 24h move-30.6 pp 24h
24h volume
$781.3
Liquidity
$679
Scheduled close

Top candidates

1 outcome

  • MIT Engineers vs. Harvard Crimson

    -30.6 pp 24h19%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring only

MIT Engineers vs. Harvard Crimson — probability rises to 19.7%

The tracked probability rose to 19.7%, up 17.5 percentage points from 2.2% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

MIT Engineers: 2% → 20%

+17.5 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability rose to 19.7%, up 17.5 percentage points from 2.2% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 2.2% to 19.7% (+17.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-29T13:16:49.490Z to 2026-10-29T13:48:02.253Z (UTC).

    Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.

    The measured move

    MIT Engineers: 2.2% → 19.7%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 2.2% to 19.7% (+17.5 percentage points). Observations were 31 minutes 13 seconds apart: 2026-10-29 13:16:49 UTC to 2026-10-29 13:48:02 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

This event is for the CBB game between MIT Engineers and Harvard Crimson on November 2 at 7:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Living timeline · 1 significant update

MIT Engineers vs. Harvard Crimson — probability rises to 19.7%

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Recent market explanations

Surge

MIT Engineers vs. Harvard Crimson — probability rises to 19.7%

MIT Engineers vs. Harvard Crimson

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