In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 29, 2026 If Grêmio FBPA wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Leading outcome
100%
100%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 3.3 percentage points from 96.65% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 97% → 100%
+3.3 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 96.65% to 99.95% (+3.3 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T02:16:57.677Z to 2026-10-30T02:47:19.806Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 96.65% → 99.95%
Probability moved from 96.65% to 99.95% (+3.3 percentage points). Observations were 30 minutes 22 seconds apart: 2026-10-30 02:16:57 UTC to 2026-10-30 02:47:19 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 93% to 96.65% (+3.65 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T02:05:01.495Z to 2026-10-30T02:16:57.677Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 29, 2026 If Grêmio FBPA wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.
All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.