This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Thursday, October 29, 2026 between Grêmio FBPA and CA Paranaense.
Current leader
100%
100%
1 outcome
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-29?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 3.3 percentage points from 96.65% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 97% → 100%
+3.3 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 3.3 percentage points from 96.65% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 96.65% to 99.95% (+3.3 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T02:16:57.677Z to 2026-10-30T02:47:19.806Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 96.65% → 99.95%
Probability moved from 96.65% to 99.95% (+3.3 percentage points). Observations were 30 minutes 22 seconds apart: 2026-10-30 02:16:57 UTC to 2026-10-30 02:47:19 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 93% to 96.65% (+3.65 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T02:05:01.495Z to 2026-10-30T02:16:57.677Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Thursday, October 29, 2026 between Grêmio FBPA and CA Paranaense.
Living timeline · 2 significant updates
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-29? — probability rises to 99.95%
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