This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open tournament.
Leading outcome
1.4%
1%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 1.4%, down 46.8 percentage points from 48.2% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 48% → 1%
-46.8 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 48.2% to 1.4% (-46.8 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T01:46:39.447Z to 2026-10-30T02:02:54.462Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 48.2% → 1.4%
Probability moved from 48.2% to 1.4% (-46.8 percentage points). Observations were 16 minutes 15 seconds apart: 2026-10-30 01:46:39 UTC to 2026-10-30 02:02:54 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 41.3% to 49.85% (+8.55 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T00:04:49.484Z to 2026-10-30T00:17:44.053Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 49.65% to 44.5% (-5.15 percentage points), from 2026-10-29T22:49:01.891Z to 2026-10-29T23:00:40.088Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 46.9% to 50% (+3.1 percentage points), from 2026-10-29T14:46:11.618Z to 2026-10-29T15:01:01.317Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 0.55% to 47.8% (+47.25 percentage points), from 2026-10-29T12:51:24.447Z to 2026-10-29T13:16:39.929Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves No
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the VidantaWorld Mexico Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open tournament. If an unlisted player wins the VidantaWorld Mexico Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules.
If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by November 7, 2026 at 7:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (.
PolySays is independent and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, sponsored by, or operated by Polymarket. PolySays provides informational and educational content only and does not provide financial, betting, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prediction markets involve risk, and regulatory status varies by jurisdiction.
Source market
Figures refresh periodically, not tick by tick. PolySays explains markets; it doesn’t run one or give trading advice.
View on PolymarketPolySays may earn referral rewards from Polymarket links at no added cost to you. Full disclosure.
Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.