activeSportsCloses Nov 1

PGA Tour: VidantaWorld Mexico Open Winner

Post

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open tournament.

Current leader

49.8%

50%

Largest 24h move+48.3 pp 24h

24h volume: $0
Liquidity: $103.3K
Scheduled close: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Top candidates

12 outcomes

Will Cheng Tsung Pan win the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open?
+48.3 pp 24h50%
Will Davis Chatfield win the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open?
+1.3 pp 24h2%
Will Chad Ramey win the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open?
+0.9 pp 24h1%
Will Brice Garnett win the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open?
+0.9 pp 24h1%
Will Garrick Higgo win the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open?
+0.4 pp 24h1%

Show all outcomes

Will Justin Lower win the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open?
1%
+0.4 pp
Will Ryder Cowan win the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open?
1%
+0.1 pp
Will David Lipsky win the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open?
1%
+0.8 pp
Will Paul Peterson win the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open?
1%
+0.8 pp
Will Pontus Nyholm win the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open?
1%
+0.3 pp
Will Hayden Springer win the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open?
1%
+0.4 pp
Will Benjamin Silverman win the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open?
1%
-0.9 pp

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring onlyOct 30

Will Benjamin Silverman win the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open? — probability falls to 0.65%

The tracked probability fell to 0.65%, down 49.4 percentage points from 50% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 50% → 1%

-49.4 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

Coverage updated Oct 30, 2026, 2:16 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 50% to 0.65% (-49.35 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T02:02:54.462Z to 2026-10-30T02:16:01.747Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 50% → 0.65%
What changed
Probability moved from 50% to 0.65% (-49.35 percentage points). Observations were 13 minutes 7 seconds apart: 2026-10-30 02:02:54 UTC to 2026-10-30 02:16:01 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
Coverage updated Oct 30, 2026, 2:16 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 42.25% to 1.4% (-40.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T02:02:54.462Z to 2026-10-30T02:16:01.747Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 30, 2026, 2:15 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 50% to 0.25% (-49.75 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T02:02:54.462Z to 2026-10-30T02:15:58.668Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 30, 2026, 2:02 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 48.75% to 1.35% (-47.4 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T01:46:39.447Z to 2026-10-30T02:02:54.462Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 30, 2026, 2:02 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 47.4% to 0.85% (-46.55 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T01:46:39.447Z to 2026-10-30T02:02:54.462Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 30, 2026, 2:02 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 49.05% to 0.55% (-48.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T01:46:39.447Z to 2026-10-30T02:02:54.462Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 30, 2026, 2:02 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 48.8% to 1.3% (-47.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T01:46:39.447Z to 2026-10-30T02:02:54.462Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 30, 2026, 2:02 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 48.75% to 1.75% (-47 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T01:46:39.447Z to 2026-10-30T02:02:54.462Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves No

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the VidantaWorld Mexico Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open tournament. If an unlisted player wins the VidantaWorld Mexico Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules.

If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by November 7, 2026 at 7:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (.

Maps and resolution sources

pgatour.compgatour.com

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will Benjamin Silverman win the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open? — probability falls to 0.65%

Keep exploring

Plunge