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activeCrypto-30.8 pp 24h

XRP above ___ on October 8?

By PolySays EditorialReporting published Editorial method

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.

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Current leader
49%Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 8?
Largest 24h move
-30.8 pp
24h volume
171
Liquidity
4.6K

Top candidates

1 outcome

Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 8?

49%

-30.8 pp 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Living timeline · 1 significant update

Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 8? — probability rises to 36.75%

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Latest chart observation: . Reporting is updated separately.

Story so far

Published update

The tracked probability rose to 36.75%, up 6.0 percentage points from 30.75% in the latest observation window. Why the probability rose is not established by the evidence attached to this update.

This summary reflects the reporting below. Market odds can change between published updates.

Latest published update

Published

Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 8? — probability rises to 36.75%

The tracked probability rose to 36.75%, up 6.0 percentage points from 30.75% in the latest observation window. Why the probability rose is not established by the evidence attached to this update.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No confirmed catalyst is recorded in this summary.

Unresolved questions

  • Watch for official disclosures or data releases, sustained volume, and whether later observations confirm the move.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The figures show how the market's recorded probability changed over this window. They do not identify a catalyst or verify the eventual outcome.

    What changed

    Probability moved from 30.75% to 36.75% (+6 percentage points). Observations were 11 minutes 23 seconds apart: 2026-10-08 12:52:22 UTC to 2026-10-08 13:03:45 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official disclosures or data releases, sustained volume, and whether later observations confirm the move.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

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