This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.
Current leader
0.1%
0%
1 outcome
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 17?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 0.05%, down 49.5 percentage points from 49.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 50% → 0%
-49.5 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 0.05%, down 49.5 percentage points from 49.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 49.5% to 0.05% (-49.45 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T15:47:16.508Z to 2026-10-17T16:00:49.504Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 49.5% → 0.05%
Probability moved from 49.5% to 0.05% (-49.45 percentage points). Observations were 13 minutes 33 seconds apart: 2026-10-17 15:47:16 UTC to 2026-10-17 16:00:49 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 43.5% to 49.5% (+6 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T15:30:09.312Z to 2026-10-17T15:47:16.508Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 48% to 43.5% (-4.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T15:17:06.768Z to 2026-10-17T15:30:09.312Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 58.5% to 48% (-10.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T15:02:32.057Z to 2026-10-17T15:17:06.768Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 65% to 58.5% (-6.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T14:47:50.408Z to 2026-10-17T15:02:32.057Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 46.5% to 63% (+16.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T14:16:41.602Z to 2026-10-17T14:30:22.526Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 35.5% to 46.5% (+11 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T13:46:47.298Z to 2026-10-17T14:16:41.602Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 27% to 35.5% (+8.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T13:16:27.752Z to 2026-10-17T13:46:47.298Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Living timeline · 9 significant updates
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 17? — probability falls to 0.05%
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