Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyPortugal vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 7.5 — probability falls to 0.75%
The tracked probability fell to 0.75%, down 4.8 percentage points from 5.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Over: 6% → 1%
-4.8 pp