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Iceland vs. Croatia - More Markets

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

More markets for the UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game, scheduled for October 13 at 11:30 AM ET.

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move+79.5 pp 24h
24h volume
$3.9K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

7 outcomes

  • Iceland vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5

    +79.5 pp 24h100%

  • Spread: Iceland (-3.5)

    +72.0 pp 24h100%

  • Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

    -49.5 pp 24h0%

  • Spread: Croatia (-3.5)

    -49.5 pp 24h0%

  • Iceland vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5

    -49.5 pp 24h0%
Show all outcomes

  • Spread: Croatia (-2.5)

    0%

    -48.9 pp

  • Iceland vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5

    0%

    -4.5 pp

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring only

Iceland vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 — probability falls to 0.75%

The tracked probability fell to 0.75%, down 4.3 percentage points from 5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Over: 5% → 1%

-4.3 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability fell to 0.75%, down 4.3 percentage points from 5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.

    The measured move

    Over: 5.0% → 0.8%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 5% to 0.75% (-4.25 percentage points). Observations were 9 minutes 42 seconds apart: 2026-10-13 18:30:35 UTC to 2026-10-13 18:40:17 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

More markets for the UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game, scheduled for October 13 at 11:30 AM ET.

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Iceland vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 — probability falls to 0.75%

Keep exploring

Recent market explanations

Plunge

Iceland vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 — probability falls to 0.75%

Iceland vs. Croatia - More Markets

Surge

Iceland vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 — probability rises to 5%

Iceland vs. Croatia - More Markets

Plunge

Iceland vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 — probability falls to 0.75%

Iceland vs. Croatia - More Markets

Surge

Iceland vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 — probability rises to 30%

Iceland vs. Croatia - More Markets

Plunge

Spread: Croatia (-2.5) — probability falls to 0.5%

Iceland vs. Croatia - More Markets

Plunge

Iceland vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 — probability falls to 0.75%

Iceland vs. Croatia - More Markets

Plunge

Iceland vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 — probability falls to 1.5%

Iceland vs. Croatia - More Markets

Surge

Spread: Croatia (-2.5) — probability rises to 15.5%

Iceland vs. Croatia - More Markets

Surge

Iceland vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 — probability rises to 45.1%

Iceland vs. Croatia - More Markets

Surge

Iceland vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 — probability rises to 46.1%

Iceland vs. Croatia - More Markets

Plunge

Spread: Croatia (-2.5) — probability falls to 0.55%

Iceland vs. Croatia - More Markets

Plunge

Iceland vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 — probability falls to 1.6%

Iceland vs. Croatia - More Markets

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