By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market refers to the tennis match between Jelena Ostapenko and Jessica Pegula in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
Current leader
100%
100%
6 outcomes
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica Pegula
Ostapenko vs. Pegula: Match O/U 22.5
Jelena Ostapenko vs. Jessica Pegula: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Ostapenko vs. Pegula: Match O/U 23.5
Ostapenko vs. Pegula: Match O/U 21.5
Set Handicap: Jessica Pegula (-1.5) vs Jelena Ostapenko (+1.5)
0%
-60.0 pp
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 4.2 percentage points from 95.8% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Jelena Ostapenko: 96% → 100%
+4.2 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 4.2 percentage points from 95.8% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.
The measured move
Jelena Ostapenko: 95.8% → 100.0%
Probability moved from 95.8% to 99.95% (+4.15 percentage points). Observations were 10 minutes 8 seconds apart: 2026-10-14 10:40:52 UTC to 2026-10-14 10:51:00 UTC.
Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jelena Ostapenko and Jessica Pegula in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jelena Ostapenko' if Jelena Ostapenko advances against Jessica Pegula. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pegula' if Jessica Pegula advances against Jelena Ostapenko.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica Pegula — probability rises to 99.95%
Keep exploring
PolySays is independent and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, sponsored by, or operated by Polymarket. PolySays provides informational and educational content only and does not provide financial, betting, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prediction markets involve risk, and regulatory status varies by jurisdiction.
Source market
Figures refresh periodically, not tick by tick. PolySays explains markets; it doesn’t run one or give trading advice.
View on PolymarketPolySays may earn referral rewards from Polymarket links at no added cost to you. Full disclosure.