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Lisbon: Dalma Galfi vs Matilde Jorge

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

This market refers to the tennis match between Dalma Galfi and Matilde Jorge in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move+16.4 pp 24h
24h volume
$282.7K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

5 outcomes

  • Lisbon: Dalma Galfi vs Matilde Jorge

    +16.4 pp 24h100%
  • Galfi vs. Jorge: Match O/U 21.5

    +68.5 pp 24h100%
  • Galfi vs. Jorge: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

    +51.5 pp 24h100%
  • Galfi vs. Jorge: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5

    +51.5 pp 24h100%
  • Galfi vs. Jorge: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5

    +51.5 pp 24h100%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring only

Lisbon: Dalma Galfi vs Matilde Jorge — probability rises to 99.95%

The tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 6.5 percentage points from 93.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Dalma Galfi: 94% → 100%

+6.5 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 6.5 percentage points from 93.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.

    The measured move

    Dalma Galfi: 93.5% → 100.0%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 93.5% to 99.95% (+6.45 percentage points). Observations were 9 minutes 32 seconds apart: 2026-10-15 13:45:44 UTC to 2026-10-15 13:55:15 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

This market refers to the tennis match between Dalma Galfi and Matilde Jorge in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dalma Galfi' if Dalma Galfi advances against Matilde Jorge. This market will resolve to 'Matilde Jorge' if Matilde Jorge advances against Dalma Galfi.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

Read the complete resolution rules

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Living timeline · 7 significant updates

Lisbon: Dalma Galfi vs Matilde Jorge — probability rises to 99.95%

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