Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyBirrell vs. Volynets: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — probability rises to 99.95%
The observed probability rose from 90.5% to 99.95%, an increase of 9.45 percentage points.
Over: 91% → 100%
+9.5 ppBy PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market refers to the tennis match between Kimberly Birrell and Katie Volynets in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
Current leader
100%
100%
7 outcomes
Birrell vs. Volynets: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
Birrell vs. Volynets: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
Birrell vs. Volynets: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
Kimberly Birrell vs. Katie Volynets: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Birrell vs. Volynets: Match O/U 22.5
Wuhan Tennis Open: Completed Match: Kimberly Birrell vs Katie Volynets
100%
+47.9 pp
Set 2 Winner: Kimberly Birrell vs Katie Volynets
0%
-49.5 pp
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe observed probability rose from 90.5% to 99.95%, an increase of 9.45 percentage points.
Over: 91% → 100%
+9.5 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThis outcome moved down 9.05 percentage points, from 99.55% to 90.5%.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
This update compares two recorded market observations. The price change describes trading in this contract; the available data does not establish its cause.
The measured move
Over: 90.5% → 100.0%
Probability moved from 90.5% to 99.95% (+9.45 percentage points). Observations were 10 minutes 29 seconds apart: 2026-10-13 08:37:06 UTC to 2026-10-13 08:47:35 UTC.
Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kimberly Birrell and Katie Volynets in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kimberly Birrell' if Kimberly Birrell advances against Katie Volynets. This market will resolve to 'Katie Volynets' if Katie Volynets advances against Kimberly Birrell.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 8 significant updates
Birrell vs. Volynets: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — probability rises to 99.95%
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