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What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of October 26 2026?

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What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of October 26 2026?

Current leader

48%

48%

Largest 24h move-18.0 pp 24h
24h volume
$135
Liquidity
$308.5
Scheduled close

Top candidates

1 outcome

  • Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $60 Week of October 26 2026?

    -18.0 pp 24h48%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring only

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $60 Week of October 26 2026? — probability falls to 48%

The tracked probability fell to 48%, down 13.0 percentage points from 61% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 61% → 48%

-13.0 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability fell to 61%, down 3.0 percentage points from 64% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 61% to 48% (-13 percentage points), from 2026-10-28T13:32:56.261Z to 2026-10-28T20:14:07.959Z (UTC).

    Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.

    The measured move

    Yes: 61% → 48%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 61% to 48% (-13 percentage points). Observations were 6 hours 41 minutes 12 seconds apart: 2026-10-28 13:32:56 UTC to 2026-10-28 20:14:07 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

  2. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 64% to 61% (-3 percentage points), from 2026-10-28T13:12:23.367Z to 2026-10-28T13:32:56.261Z (UTC).

  3. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 74% to 66% (-8 percentage points), from 2026-10-28T11:02:45.723Z to 2026-10-28T12:20:19.264Z (UTC).

  4. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 65% to 72.5% (+7.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-28T10:17:13.643Z to 2026-10-28T10:45:34.090Z (UTC).

  5. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 69.5% to 65% (-4.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-27T22:46:49.601Z to 2026-10-28T10:17:13.643Z (UTC).

  6. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 76% to 67% (-9 percentage points), from 2026-10-27T16:38:07.875Z to 2026-10-27T21:24:23.061Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of October 26 2026?

Living timeline · 6 significant updates

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $60 Week of October 26 2026? — probability falls to 48%

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