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What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of October 26 2026?

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What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of October 26 2026?

Current leader

20.5%

21%

Largest 24h move-16.5 pp 24h
24h volume
$103
Liquidity
$759.1
Scheduled close

Top candidates

1 outcome

  • Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of October 26 2026?

    -16.5 pp 24h21%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring only

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of October 26 2026? — probability falls to 20.5%

The tracked probability fell to 20.5%, down 4.0 percentage points from 24.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 25% → 21%

-4.0 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Monitoring

PolySays is monitoring this market.

No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.

No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 24.5% to 20.5% (-4 percentage points), from 2026-10-27T12:04:02.415Z to 2026-10-27T16:36:24.369Z (UTC).

    Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.

    The measured move

    Yes: 24.5% → 20.5%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 24.5% to 20.5% (-4 percentage points). Observations were 4 hours 32 minutes 22 seconds apart: 2026-10-27 12:04:02 UTC to 2026-10-27 16:36:24 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of October 26 2026?

Living timeline · 1 significant update

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of October 26 2026? — probability falls to 20.5%

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