What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of October 12 2026?
Current leader
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1 outcome
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 0%, down 47.5 percentage points from 47.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 48% → 0%
-47.5 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 0%, down 47.5 percentage points from 47.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 47.5% to 0% (-47.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T20:00:58.117Z to 2026-10-16T20:16:33.249Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 47.5% → 0%
Probability moved from 47.5% to 0% (-47.5 percentage points). Observations were 15 minutes 35 seconds apart: 2026-10-16 20:00:58 UTC to 2026-10-16 20:16:33 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 36.5% to 48.55% (+12.05 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T18:32:28.900Z to 2026-10-16T18:45:08.219Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 46.65% to 36.5% (-10.15 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T18:16:07.034Z to 2026-10-16T18:32:28.900Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 24.25% to 49.5% (+25.25 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T16:00:56.545Z to 2026-10-16T16:16:07.886Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 38.1% to 24.25% (-13.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T15:47:46.549Z to 2026-10-16T16:00:56.545Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 26.25% to 38.1% (+11.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T15:30:39.775Z to 2026-10-16T15:47:46.549Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 37.3% to 26.25% (-11.05 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T15:16:33.647Z to 2026-10-16T15:30:39.775Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 40.55% to 37.3% (-3.25 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T15:00:22.311Z to 2026-10-16T15:16:33.647Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of October 12 2026?
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026? — probability falls to 0%
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