What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of October 12 2026?
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Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 12 2026?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 61.1 percentage points from 38.85% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 39% → 100%
+61.1 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 61.1 percentage points from 38.85% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 38.85% to 99.95% (+61.1 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T12:03:05.980Z to 2026-10-16T12:21:39.143Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 38.85% → 99.95%
Probability moved from 38.85% to 99.95% (+61.1 percentage points). Observations were 18 minutes 33 seconds apart: 2026-10-16 12:03:05 UTC to 2026-10-16 12:21:39 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 50.55% to 38.85% (-11.7 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T11:49:16.391Z to 2026-10-16T12:03:05.980Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 41.95% to 46.95% (+5 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T10:34:13.027Z to 2026-10-16T10:47:51.784Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 45.15% to 41.95% (-3.2 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T10:17:58.736Z to 2026-10-16T10:34:13.027Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 40.35% to 43.45% (+3.1 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T09:49:34.325Z to 2026-10-16T10:02:32.389Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 45.95% to 40.35% (-5.6 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T09:33:18.972Z to 2026-10-16T09:49:34.325Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 41.95% to 46.95% (+5 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T09:03:22.605Z to 2026-10-16T09:18:06.154Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 47.35% to 41.95% (-5.4 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T08:46:24.405Z to 2026-10-16T09:03:22.605Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of October 12 2026?
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 12 2026? — probability rises to 99.95%
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