What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of October 12 2026?
Current leader
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1 outcome
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
VolumeMonitoring onlyProbability remained at 99.95%. Reported rolling 24-hour volume changed from $269.1932 to $1,615.4559. The cause is not established.
Yes: 100% → 100%
0.0 ppStory so far
Recently updatedProbability remained at 99.95%. Reported rolling 24-hour volume changed from $269.1932 to $1,615.4559. The cause is not established.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability remained at 99.95% (0 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T17:17:29.211Z to 2026-10-16T17:32:51.132Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 99.95% → 99.95%
Probability remained at 99.95% (0 percentage points). Observations were 15 minutes 22 seconds apart: 2026-10-16 17:17:29 UTC to 2026-10-16 17:32:51 UTC. The move also met PolySays' high-volume-shock threshold. Reported rolling 24-hour volume changed from $269.1932 to $1,615.4559.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 35.95% to 99.95% (+64 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T17:02:24.125Z to 2026-10-16T17:17:29.211Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 19.55% to 35.95% (+16.4 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T16:47:59.704Z to 2026-10-16T17:02:24.125Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 45.35% to 21.1% (-24.25 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T16:16:07.886Z to 2026-10-16T16:30:25.906Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 32% to 45.35% (+13.35 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T16:00:56.545Z to 2026-10-16T16:16:07.886Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 11% to 32% (+21 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T15:47:46.549Z to 2026-10-16T16:00:56.545Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 5.2% to 11.45% (+6.25 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T15:16:33.647Z to 2026-10-16T15:30:39.775Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 4.5% to 0.55% (-3.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T14:18:01.794Z to 2026-10-16T14:31:17.859Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of October 12 2026?
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026? — probability holds at 99.95%
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