closedCrypto

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTCEditorial method

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy Incorporated announces that they have acquired additional Bitcoin between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date).

Current leader

100%

Largest 24h move+16.0 pp 24h

24h volume: $2.6K
Liquidity: $0
Closed: Oct 13, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC

Top candidates

1 outcome

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?
+16.0 pp 24h100%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring onlyOct 12

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12? — probability rises to 99.5%

The latest observation puts this outcome at 99.5%, compared with 81.5% at the start of the window.

Yes: 82% → 100%

+18.0 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

This brief records how the contract was priced at two points in time. The direction and size of the move are measured; a reason for the move has not been verified.
The measured move
Yes: 81.5% → 99.5%
What changed
Probability moved from 81.5% to 99.5% (+18 percentage points). Observations were 9 minutes 34 seconds apart: 2026-10-12 11:50:30 UTC to 2026-10-12 12:00:03 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

Resolves No

Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at:

Maps and resolution sources

Purchasesstrategy.com

Living timeline · 11 significant updates

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12? — probability rises to 99.5%

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