Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R.
- Current leader
- No 90%
- Leader 24h
- +2%
- 24h volume
- 108.9
- Liquidity
- 2.9K
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
90%
+2% 24h
Yes
11%
-2% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
R. Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released. The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution.
The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify. This market is concerned only with the announcement of release. The resolution source for this market will be official information from George R. R. Martin or a consensus of credible sources.
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Odds chart showing latest No probability of 96%.
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