What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 19 2026?
Current leader
50.5%
51%
2 outcomes
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of October 19 2026?
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of October 19 2026?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 50.5%, down 4.0 percentage points from 54.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 55% → 51%
-4.0 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 50.5%, down 4.0 percentage points from 54.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 54.5% to 50.5% (-4 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T07:04:50.573Z to 2026-10-21T09:30:13.568Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 54.5% → 50.5%
Probability moved from 54.5% to 50.5% (-4 percentage points). Observations were 2 hours 25 minutes 23 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 07:04:50 UTC to 2026-10-21 09:30:13 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 6% to 9% (+3 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T06:50:25.251Z to 2026-10-21T07:04:50.573Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 13.5% to 6% (-7.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T06:32:28.344Z to 2026-10-21T06:50:25.251Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 9% to 13.5% (+4.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T06:01:02.792Z to 2026-10-21T06:32:28.344Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 64% to 61% (-3 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T03:32:02.969Z to 2026-10-21T03:47:54.820Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 59.5% to 64.5% (+5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T03:02:30.010Z to 2026-10-21T03:17:32.619Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 61% to 58% (-3 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T01:45:36.198Z to 2026-10-21T02:00:28.960Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 56.5% to 61% (+4.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T01:16:29.459Z to 2026-10-21T01:45:36.198Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 19 2026?
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Will [link omitted], Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of October 19 2026? — probability falls to 50.5%
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What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 19 2026?
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PlungeWhat will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 19 2026?
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SurgeWhat will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 19 2026?
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PlungeWhat will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 19 2026?
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