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What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 12 2026?

Post

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 12 2026?

Current leader

0.1%

0%

Largest 24h move-6.3 pp 24h
24h volume
$2.1K
Liquidity
$1.6K
Scheduled close

Top candidates

4 outcomes

  • Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of October 12 2026?

    -6.3 pp 24h0%

  • Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of October 12 2026?

    -15.4 pp 24h0%

  • Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of October 12 2026?

    -0.5 pp 24h0%

  • Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 Week of October 12 2026?

    -0.5 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring only

Will [link omitted], Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of October 12 2026? — probability falls to 0.05%

The tracked probability fell to 0.05%, down 8.9 percentage points from 9% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 9% → 0%

-8.9 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability fell to 0.05%, down 8.9 percentage points from 9% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 9% to 0.05% (-8.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T19:47:11.281Z to 2026-10-16T20:00:58.117Z (UTC).

    Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.

    The measured move

    Yes: 9% → 0.05%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 9% to 0.05% (-8.95 percentage points). Observations were 13 minutes 47 seconds apart: 2026-10-16 19:47:11 UTC to 2026-10-16 20:00:58 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

  2. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 19.5% to 9% (-10.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T19:30:57.337Z to 2026-10-16T19:47:11.281Z (UTC).

  3. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 38% to 17.5% (-20.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T19:03:02.404Z to 2026-10-16T19:16:59.587Z (UTC).

  4. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 33% to 38% (+5 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T18:45:08.219Z to 2026-10-16T19:03:02.404Z (UTC).

  5. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 47.5% to 33% (-14.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T18:32:28.900Z to 2026-10-16T18:45:08.219Z (UTC).

  6. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 66.5% to 45.5% (-21 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T18:03:21.235Z to 2026-10-16T18:16:07.034Z (UTC).

  7. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 30.5% to 66.5% (+36 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T17:46:22.732Z to 2026-10-16T18:03:21.235Z (UTC).

  8. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 23.5% to 30.5% (+7 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T17:32:51.132Z to 2026-10-16T17:46:22.732Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 12 2026?

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will [link omitted], Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of October 12 2026? — probability falls to 0.05%

Keep exploring

Recent market explanations

Plunge

Will [link omitted], Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of October 12 2026? — probability falls to 0.05%

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 12 2026?

Plunge

Will [link omitted], Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of October 12 2026? — probability falls to 9%

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 12 2026?

Plunge

Will [link omitted], Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of October 12 2026? — probability falls to 17.5%

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 12 2026?

Surge

Will [link omitted], Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of October 12 2026? — probability rises to 38%

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 12 2026?

Plunge

Will [link omitted], Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of October 12 2026? — probability falls to 33%

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 12 2026?

Plunge

Will [link omitted], Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of October 12 2026? — probability falls to 45.5%

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 12 2026?

Surge

Will [link omitted], Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of October 12 2026? — probability rises to 66.5%

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 12 2026?

Surge

Will [link omitted], Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of October 12 2026? — probability rises to 30.5%

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 12 2026?

Plunge

Will [link omitted], Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of October 12 2026? — probability falls to 23.5%

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 12 2026?

Plunge

Will [link omitted], Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of October 12 2026? — probability falls to 35%

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 12 2026?

Surge

Will [link omitted], Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of October 12 2026? — probability rises to 49%

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 12 2026?

Surge

Will [link omitted], Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of October 12 2026? — probability rises to 8.5%

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 12 2026?

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