Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- Current leader
- Gadi Eizenkot 40%
- Largest 24h move
- Gadi Eizenkot +4%
- 24h volume
- 640.7K
- Liquidity
- 1.9M
Top candidates
18 outcomes
Gadi Eizenkot
40%
+4% 24h
Benjamin Netanyahu
35%
-3% 24h
Naftali Bennett
14%
-1% 24h
Avigdor Lieberman
4%
+0% 24h
Itamar Ben Gvir
1%
-0% 24h
Show all outcomes
Benny Gantz
1%
0%
Gilad Erdan
1%
0%
Yoaz Hendel
1%
-0%
Yariv Levin
0%
0%
Israel Katz
0%
0%
Amir Ohana
0%
0%
Gideon Sa'ar
0%
0%
Yossi Cohen
0%
0%
Yair Lapid
0%
0%
Yair Golan
0%
0%
Nir Barkat
0%
0%
Ayelet Shaked
0%
0%
Moshe Feiglin
0%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Read the complete resolution rules
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Gadi Eizenkot probability of 45%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
No updates yet
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline